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Marbelli vs Almería II — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

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Marbelli
Marbelli
5º · 1.86 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 27d 23h
vs
–
–
Almería II
Almería II
2º · 2.29 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 5h
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Marbelli and Almería II meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Marbelli have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Almería II have won 63% of their 8 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 38%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Marbelli and 0.96 for Almería II. The models give Marbelli a 42% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Almería II win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 44%.

Season Statistics

Marbelli
—
Almería II
5º
Position
2º
1.86
PPG
2.29
57%
Win %
71%
1.14
Goals / game
1.71
1.00
Conceded / game
0.57
43%
BTTS %
50%
29%
Clean sheet %
38%
29%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Marbelli
Home (3)
—
Almería II
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
1.75
67%
Win %
50%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.75
33%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
25%
33%
Over 2.5 %
25%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

MarbelliHomeAwayAlmería IIHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored63%50%75%88%100%75%
Over 1.5 Scored25%25%25%63%100%25%
Over 2.5 Scored13%0%25%13%25%0%
Failed To Score38%50%25%13%0%25%

Goals Conceded

MarbelliHomeAwayAlmería IIHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded63%50%75%63%50%75%
Over 1.5 Conceded25%25%25%13%25%0%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%0%0%0%
Clean Sheets38%50%25%38%50%25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

MarbelliAlmería II
Over 0.588%100%
Over 1.563%75%
Over 2.525%50%
Over 3.513%25%
Over 4.50%0%
BTTS38%50%
BTTS & Win25%25%
BTTS & Draw13%25%
BTTS & Over 2.525%38%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

MarbelliAlmería II
Win 1st Half25%50%
Draw 1st Half63%50%
Loss 1st Half13%0%
Scored 1st Half38%63%
Conceded 1st Half25%13%
Win 2nd Half25%38%
Draw 2nd Half50%25%
Loss 2nd Half25%38%
Scored 2nd Half38%50%
Conceded 2nd Half38%63%
Over 0.5 HT50%63%
Over 1.5 HT25%38%

Recent Venue Form

Marbelli (H)
DAtlético Porcuna0–0
LAlhaurino0–2
WTorre del Mar1–0
WCiudad de Torredonjimeno2–1
LGranada II0–1
WHuétor Tájar2–1
Almería II (A)
WGranada II1–0
DCantoria1–1
LUD San Pedro0–1
WMalaga City2–1
LÁguilas0–2
DYeclano1–1
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Melilla8701+1021
2Almería II7511+816
3Arenas Armilla7430+815
4Motril7430+615
5Marbelli7412+113
6UD San Pedro7403-112
7Málaga II7322+611
8Ciudad de Torredonjimeno7322+311
9Churriana Vega7313+310
10Granada II7313+310
11Atlético Porcuna7313-610
12Alhaurino7223-28
13Torre del Mar7214-27
14Huétor Vega7133-46
15Atletico de Marbella7124-45
16Mancha Real7124-65
17Cantoria8035-103
18Malaga City7007-130

Team Insights

Marbelli
  • ●Marbelli have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●62% of Marbelli's goals have been scored away.
Almería II
  • ●Almería II have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
  • ●Almería II have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Almería II have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Almería II have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●71% of Almería II's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Almería II have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
LAUD San Pedro6º0–2
LHAlhaurino12º0–2
WAMalaga City18º1–0
WHTorre del Mar13º1–0
WAHuétor Vega14º3–1
DAMancha Real16º1–1
LHGranada II11º0–1
WAGranada II10º1–0
WHMálaga II7º2–1
DACantoria17º1–1
LAUD San Pedro6º0–1
WHAlhaurino12º2–0
WAMalaga City18º2–1
LAÁguilas3º0–2

Season Schedule

Marbelli
DHAtlético Porcuna0–0
LAUD San Pedro0–2
LHAlhaurino0–2
WAMalaga City1–0
WHTorre del Mar1–0
WAHuétor Vega3–1
–ACantoria01/11
–HMálaga II08/11
–AGranada II15/11
Almería II
DHAtletico de Marbella2–2
WAGranada II1–0
WHMálaga II2–1
DACantoria1–1
WHAtlético Porcuna4–0
LAUD San Pedro0–1
–HChurriana Vega01/11
–AMotril08/11
–HMelilla15/11

Top Scorers

Marbelli
K. Carmona2 ⚽
A. Mwale1 ⚽
A. Jarauta1 ⚽
M. de la Lama1 ⚽
R. Franco1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Almería II
4 ⚽
M. Sanca3 ⚽
E. Bajramovic3 ⚽
J. Gazquez1 ⚽
P. Montero1 ⚽
V. Lesjak1 ⚽