Churriana Vega vs Motril — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Churriana Vega and Motril meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Churriana Vega have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Motril have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Churriana Vega and 1.24 for Motril. The models give Churriana Vega a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Motril win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Churriana VegaMotrilHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Churriana Vega | Home | Away | Motril | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Churriana Vega | Home | Away | Motril | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 50% | 100% | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 50% | 0% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Churriana Vega | Motril | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 13% |
| BTTS | 63% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Churriana Vega | Motril | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Churriana Vega (H)
Granada II0–0
Cantoria3–0
UD San Pedro1–3
Malaga City4–1Motril1–1UD San Pedro1–1Motril (A)Cantoria2–0UD San Pedro3–2Malaga City2–1
Huétor Vega0–0
Arenas Armilla0–1Churriana Vega1–1Head to Head · 4 matches
Churriana VegaMotrilChurriana VegaMotril| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 |  Almería II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 |  Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Churriana Vega | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 | Granada II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Atlético Porcuna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 |  Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Huétor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mancha Real | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 | Cantoria | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 | Malaga City | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
Churriana Vega- ●Churriana Vega have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Churriana Vega have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●62% of Churriana Vega's goals have been scored at home.
Motril- ●Motril have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Motril have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Motril have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Motril have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Motril have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●64% of Motril's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Motril's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Churriana VegaGranada II0–0Málaga II1–1Cantoria3–0Atlético Porcuna3–2UD San Pedro1–3Alhaurino1–2Almería II01/11Atletico de Marbella08/11Motril15/11MotrilCantoria2–0Atlético Porcuna1–1UD San Pedro3–2Alhaurino2–0Malaga City2–1Torre del Mar1–1Granada II01/11Almería II08/11Churriana Vega15/11Top Scorers
Churriana VegaMotrilCards Given
Churriana VegaMotril