Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Group 9 - 10

Marbelli

5º · 1.86 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 13d 23h

–

Málaga II

7º · 1.57 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 14d 0h

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Marbelli and Málaga II meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Marbelli have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Málaga II have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 2.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Marbelli and 1.01 for Málaga II. The models give Marbelli a 47% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Málaga II win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 50%.

Season Statistics

Marbelli

—

Málaga II

5º

Position

7º

1.86

PPG

1.57

57%

Win %

43%

1.14

Goals / game

1.86

1.00

Conceded / game

1.00

43%

BTTS %

63%

29%

Clean sheet %

25%

29%

Over 2.5 %

50%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Marbelli

Home (3)

—

Málaga II

Away (3)

2.00

PPG

0.33

67%

Win %

1.00

Goals / game

1.00

Conceded / game

1.67

33%

BTTS %

75%

33%

Clean sheet %

33%

Over 2.5 %

75%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Marbelli	Home	Away	Málaga II	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	63%	50%	75%	88%	100%	75%
Over 1.5 Scored	25%	25%	25%	50%	50%	50%
Over 2.5 Scored	13%	0%	25%	25%	25%	25%
Failed To Score	38%	50%	25%	13%	0%	25%

Goals Conceded

	Marbelli	Home	Away	Málaga II	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	63%	50%	75%	75%	50%	100%
Over 1.5 Conceded	25%	25%	25%	38%	0%	75%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	38%	50%	25%	25%	50%	0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Marbelli	Málaga II
Over 0.5	88%	100%
Over 1.5	63%	75%
Over 2.5	25%	50%
Over 3.5	13%	38%
Over 4.5	0%	25%
BTTS	38%	63%
BTTS & Win	25%	25%
BTTS & Draw	13%	25%
BTTS & Over 2.5	25%	50%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Marbelli	Málaga II
Win 1st Half	25%	50%
Draw 1st Half	63%	25%
Loss 1st Half	13%	25%
Scored 1st Half	38%	50%
Conceded 1st Half	25%	25%
Win 2nd Half	25%	50%
Draw 2nd Half	50%	38%
Loss 2nd Half	25%	13%
Scored 2nd Half	38%	75%
Conceded 2nd Half	38%	50%
Over 0.5 HT	50%	75%
Over 1.5 HT	25%	25%

Recent Venue Form

Marbelli (H)

Atlético Porcuna0–0

Alhaurino0–2

Torre del Mar1–0

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno2–1

Granada II0–1

Huétor Tájar2–1

Málaga II (A)

Motril4–2

Almería II1–2

Cantoria2–2

UD San Pedro0–1

Puente Genil1–2

Ucam Murcia0–4

Head to Head · 2 matches

Marbelli

Draws

50%

Málaga II

50%

Over 1.5

1/2

50%

Over 2.5

1/2

Over 3.5

0/2

50%

BTTS

1/2

30/03/25

Málaga II

0–0

Marbelli

17/11/24

Marbelli

1–2

Málaga II

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Melilla	8	7	0	1	+10	21
2	Almería II	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	Arenas Armilla	7	4	3	0	+8	15
4	Motril	7	4	3	0	+6	15
5	Marbelli	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	UD San Pedro	7	4	0	3	-1	12
7	Málaga II	7	3	2	2	+6	11
8	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Churriana Vega	7	3	1	3	+3	10
10	Granada II	7	3	1	3	+3	10
11	Atlético Porcuna	7	3	1	3	-6	10
12	Alhaurino	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Torre del Mar	7	2	1	4	-2	7
14	Huétor Vega	7	1	3	3	-4	6
15	Atletico de Marbella	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Mancha Real	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Cantoria	8	0	3	5	-10	3
18	Malaga City	7	0	0	7	-13	0

Team Insights

Marbelli

●Marbelli have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
●62% of Marbelli's goals have been scored away.

Málaga II

●Málaga II have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
●Málaga II have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
●Málaga II have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
●Málaga II have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●78% of Málaga II's goals conceded were conceded away.

Marbelli

DHAtlético Porcuna11º0–0

LAUD San Pedro6º0–2

LHAlhaurino12º0–2

WAMalaga City18º1–0

WHTorre del Mar13º1–0

WAHuétor Vega14º3–1

WHCiudad de Torredonjimeno8º2–1

DAMancha Real16º1–1

WACiudad de Torredonjimeno7º2–0

LHGranada II11º0–1

Málaga II