Mancha Real vs Atlético Porcuna — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Mancha Real and Atlético Porcuna meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Mancha Real have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 0.71 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Atlético Porcuna have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Mancha Real and 1.07 for Atlético Porcuna. The models give Mancha Real a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Atlético Porcuna win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Mancha RealAtlético PorcunaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Mancha Real | Home | Away | Atlético Porcuna | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 100% | 25% | 86% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 25% | 43% | 75% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 0% | 75% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Mancha Real | Home | Away | Atlético Porcuna | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 71% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mancha Real | Atlético Porcuna | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS | 57% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mancha Real | Atlético Porcuna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 14% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 57% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 14% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Mancha Real (H)
Torre del Mar1–3
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1–1
Marbelli1–1Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1–2
Huétor Vega2–1
UD Melilla II0–0Atlético Porcuna (A)
Motril1–1
Almería II0–4
Málaga II1–6Motril1–2
El Palo2–1
Alhaurino0–3Head to Head · 9 matches
Mancha RealAtlético PorcunaAtlético PorcunaMancha RealMancha RealMancha RealAtlético PorcunaAtlético PorcunaMancha Real| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | Almería II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Arenas Armilla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 | Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Churriana Vega | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Granada II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 | Atlético Porcuna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Huétor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Mancha Real | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Cantoria | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Malaga City | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
Mancha Real- ●Mancha Real failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Mancha Real have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Atlético Porcuna- ●Atlético Porcuna have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●78% of Atlético Porcuna's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Atlético Porcuna's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●90% of Atlético Porcuna's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Mancha RealMalaga City2–1Torre del Mar1–3Huétor Vega0–3Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1–1Atletico de Marbella0–1Arenas Armilla0–1UD San Pedro01/11Atlético Porcuna08/11Cantoria15/11Atlético PorcunaMelilla2–0Motril1–1Churriana Vega2–3Almería II0–4Granada II2–1Málaga II1–6Marbelli25/10Arenas Armilla01/11Mancha Real08/11Top Scorers
Mancha RealAtlético PorcunaCards Given
Mancha RealAtlético Porcuna