Churriana Vega vs Atletico de Marbella — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Churriana Vega and Atletico de Marbella meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Churriana Vega have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Atletico de Marbella have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 0.71 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Churriana Vega and 0.97 for Atletico de Marbella. The models give Churriana Vega a 55% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Atletico de Marbella win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Churriana VegaAtletico de MarbellaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Churriana Vega | Home | Away | Atletico de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 75% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 67% | 25% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 43% | 67% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 25% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Churriana Vega | Home | Away | Atletico de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 67% | 100% | 86% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 33% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 33% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Churriana Vega | Atletico de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS | 71% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Churriana Vega | Atletico de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 14% | 71% |
| Loss 1st Half | 57% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 57% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 86% | 29% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 86% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 14% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Churriana Vega (H)
Cantoria3–0
UD San Pedro1–3
Malaga City4–1
Motril1–1UD San Pedro1–1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1–0Atletico de (A)
Granada II1–2
Málaga II0–1Cantoria1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 |  Almería II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Arenas Armilla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 |  Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Churriana Vega | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 | Granada II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Atlético Porcuna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 |  Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Huétor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mancha Real | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 | Cantoria | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 | Malaga City | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
Churriana Vega- ●Churriana Vega have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Churriana Vega have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●62% of Churriana Vega's goals have been scored at home.
Atletico de- ●Atletico de Marbella have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Atletico de Marbella have lost their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
Churriana VegaMálaga II1–1Cantoria3–0Atlético Porcuna3–2UD San Pedro1–3Alhaurino1–2Malaga City4–1Granada II25/10Almería II01/11Atletico de Marbella08/11Atletico deHuétor Vega2–2Granada II1–2Ciudad de Torredonjimeno0–1Málaga II0–1Mancha Real1–0Cantoria1–1Torre del Mar01/11Churriana Vega08/11Malaga City15/11Top Scorers
Churriana VegaAtletico deCards Given
Churriana VegaAtletico de