UD San Pedro vs Mancha Real — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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UD San Pedro and Mancha Real meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 1 November 2026. UD San Pedro have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Mancha Real have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 0.71 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for UD San Pedro and 0.79 for Mancha Real. The models give UD San Pedro a 57% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Mancha Real win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
UD San PedroMancha RealHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| UD San | Home | Away | Mancha Real | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 100% | 25% | 57% | 100% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 0% | 75% | 43% | 0% | 75% |
Goals Conceded
| UD San | Home | Away | Mancha Real | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 25% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 25% | 75% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UD San | Mancha Real | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 25% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UD San | Mancha Real | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 57% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 14% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
UD San (H)
Marbelli2–0
Motril2–3
Almería II1–0
Málaga II1–0
Arenas Armilla2–1
Torreperogil0–0Mancha Real (A)
Malaga City2–1
Huétor Vega0–3
Atletico de Marbella0–1Arenas Armilla0–1
Alhaurino1–1
Granada II2–2Head to Head · 2 matches
UD San PedroMancha Real| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | Almería II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 | Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Churriana Vega | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 | Granada II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Atlético Porcuna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Huétor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Mancha Real | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Cantoria | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 | Malaga City | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
UD San- ●UD San Pedro have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of UD San Pedro's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of UD San Pedro's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of UD San Pedro's points have been earned at home.
Mancha Real- ●Mancha Real failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Mancha Real have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
UD SanMarbelli2–0Melilla0–2Motril2–3Churriana Vega3–1Almería II1–0Granada II0–4Mancha Real01/11Ciudad de Torredonjimeno08/11Huétor Vega15/11Mancha RealMalaga City2–1Torre del Mar1–3Huétor Vega0–3Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1–1Atletico de Marbella0–1Arenas Armilla0–1UD San Pedro01/11Atlético Porcuna08/11Cantoria15/11Top Scorers
UD SanMancha Real