Almería II vs Churriana Vega — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Almería II and Churriana Vega meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Almería II have recorded 5 wins from 7 matches this season (71% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Churriana Vega have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Almería II and 0.95 for Churriana Vega. The models give Almería II a 54% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Churriana Vega win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Almería IIChurriana VegaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Almería II | Home | Away | Churriana Vega | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 75% | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 100% | 25% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 33% | 0% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Almería II | Home | Away | Churriana Vega | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 33% | 75% | 86% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 67% | 25% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Almería II | Churriana Vega | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS | 43% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Almería II | Churriana Vega | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 57% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 14% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 57% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 0% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 86% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Almería II (H)
Málaga II2–1
Atlético Porcuna4–0
Alhaurino2–0
Deportiva Minera3–4
Estepona1–2
Lorca Deportiva1–1Churriana Vega (A)Málaga II1–1Atlético Porcuna3–2Alhaurino1–2
Torre del Mar0–1
Motril0–0
El Palo2–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | Almería II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Arenas Armilla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 |  Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Churriana Vega | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Granada II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 | Atlético Porcuna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Huétor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mancha Real | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Cantoria | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Malaga City | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
Almería II- ●Almería II have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Almería II have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●67% of Almería II's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Almería II have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Churriana Vega- ●Churriana Vega have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Churriana Vega have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●62% of Churriana Vega's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Almería IIGranada II1–0Málaga II2–1Cantoria1–1Atlético Porcuna4–0UD San Pedro0–1Alhaurino2–0Atletico de Marbella25/10Churriana Vega01/11Motril08/11Churriana VegaMálaga II1–1Cantoria3–0Atlético Porcuna3–2UD San Pedro1–3Alhaurino1–2Malaga City4–1Granada II25/10Almería II01/11Atletico de Marbella08/11Top Scorers
Almería IIChurriana VegaCards Given
Almería IIChurriana Vega