Motril vs Málaga II — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Motril and Málaga II meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Motril have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Málaga II have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.86 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Motril and 0.93 for Málaga II. The models give Motril a 55% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Málaga II win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Motril—
Málaga II4º
Position
7º
2.14
PPG
1.57
57%
Win %
43%
1.57
Goals / game
1.86
0.71
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
57%
38%
Clean sheet %
29%
25%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Motril
Home (3)
—
Málaga II
Away (3)
1.67
PPG
0.33
33%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
1.00
0.67
Conceded / game
1.67
50%
BTTS %
67%
25%
Clean sheet %
0%
0%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Motril | Home | Away | Málaga II | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 86% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 25% | 75% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Motril | Home | Away | Málaga II | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 75% | 50% | 71% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 29% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 25% | 50% | 29% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Motril | Málaga II | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS | 50% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Motril | Málaga II | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Motril (H)D
Atlético Porcuna1–1
Atlético Porcuna1–1W
Alhaurino2–0
Alhaurino2–0D
Torre del Mar1–1
Torre del Mar1–1L
Recreativo Huelva0–2
Recreativo Huelva0–2D
Arenas Armilla1–1
Arenas Armilla1–1D
Churriana Vega0–0
Churriana Vega0–0Málaga II (A)L
Almería II1–2
Almería II1–2D
Cantoria2–2
Cantoria2–2L
UD San Pedro0–1
UD San Pedro0–1L
Puente Genil1–2
Puente Genil1–2L
Ucam Murcia0–4
Ucam Murcia0–4L
La Unión Atlético1–3
La Unión Atlético1–3Head to Head · 11 matches
3
Motril
27%
2
Draws
18%
6
Málaga II
55%
82%
Over 1.5
9/11
55%
Over 2.5
6/11
27%
Over 3.5
3/11
45%
BTTS
5/11
23/02/25Málaga II
Motril
0–1Málaga II13/10/24Motril
Málaga II
5–0Motril11/02/24Motril
Málaga II
1–1Motril01/10/23Málaga II
Motril
2–0Málaga II26/03/23Motril
Málaga II
4–1Motril04/12/22Málaga II
Motril
0–0Málaga II02/02/22Motril
Málaga II
3–2Motril12/09/21Málaga II
Motril
2–1Málaga II07/03/21Málaga II
Motril
2–1Málaga II29/11/20Motril
Málaga II
3–0Motril01/11/19Málaga II
Motril
0–2Málaga IIEvents
11'⚽Fran
31'⚽Ramos
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | Almería II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 |  Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Churriana Vega | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Granada II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 | Atlético Porcuna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Huétor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mancha Real | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 | Cantoria | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Malaga City | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
Motril- ●Motril have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Motril have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Motril have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Motril have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Motril have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●64% of Motril's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Motril's points have been earned away.
Málaga II- ●Málaga II have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Málaga II have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Málaga II have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●77% of Málaga II's goals have been scored at home.
- ●91% of Málaga II's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
MotrilWACantoria2–0
Cantoria2–0DHAtlético Porcuna1–1
Atlético Porcuna1–1WAUD San Pedro3–2
UD San Pedro3–2WHAlhaurino2–0
Alhaurino2–0WAMalaga City2–1
Malaga City2–1DHTorre del Mar1–1
Torre del Mar1–1–AGranada II01/11
Granada II01/11–HAlmería II08/11
Almería II08/11–AChurriana Vega15/11
Churriana Vega15/11Málaga IIDHChurriana Vega1–1
Churriana Vega1–1LAAlmería II1–2
Almería II1–2WHGranada II2–0
Granada II2–0WHAtletico de Marbella1–0
Atletico de Marbella1–0DACantoria2–2
Cantoria2–2WHAtlético Porcuna6–1
Atlético Porcuna6–1–HMelilla01/11
Melilla01/11–AMarbelli08/11
Marbelli08/11–HArenas Armilla15/11
Arenas Armilla15/11Top Scorers
MotrilC. Camacho3 ⚽
C. Lopez2 ⚽
Cevallos Mike1 ⚽
F. Hernandez1 ⚽
I. Gonzalez Salvador1 ⚽
A. Diaz1 ⚽
Málaga IIG. Perea3 ⚽
F. Maldonado2 ⚽
H. Lakhyar2 ⚽
F. Garcia1 ⚽
Fran1 ⚽
J. Martin1 ⚽
Cards Given
MotrilF. Hernandez2 🟨
M. Corral2 🟨
Málaga IIA. Rodriguez Navarro1 🟨