Marbelli vs Atlético Porcuna — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Marbelli and Atlético Porcuna meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Marbelli have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Atlético Porcuna have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for Marbelli and 0.93 for Atlético Porcuna. The models give Marbelli a 56% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Atlético Porcuna win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
MarbelliAtlético PorcunaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Marbelli | Home | Away | Atlético Porcuna | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 67% | 75% | 86% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 43% | 75% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 33% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Marbelli | Home | Away | Atlético Porcuna | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 67% | 75% | 71% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 33% | 25% | 29% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Marbelli | Atlético Porcuna | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS | 43% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Marbelli | Atlético Porcuna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 14% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Marbelli (H)
Alhaurino0–2
Torre del Mar1–0
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno2–1
Granada II0–1
Huétor Tájar2–1
Martos1–2Atlético Porcuna (A)
Motril1–1
Almería II0–4
Málaga II1–6Motril1–2
El Palo2–1Alhaurino0–3Head to Head · 4 matches
Atlético PorcunaMarbelliMarbelliAtlético Porcuna| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | Almería II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Arenas Armilla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 | Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Churriana Vega | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 | Granada II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 | Atlético Porcuna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Huétor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mancha Real | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Cantoria | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Malaga City | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
Marbelli- ●62% of Marbelli's goals have been scored away.
Atlético Porcuna- ●Atlético Porcuna have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●78% of Atlético Porcuna's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Atlético Porcuna's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●90% of Atlético Porcuna's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
MarbelliUD San Pedro0–2Alhaurino0–2Malaga City1–0Torre del Mar1–0Huétor Vega3–1Ciudad de Torredonjimeno2–1Atlético Porcuna25/10Cantoria01/11Málaga II08/11Atlético PorcunaMelilla2–0Motril1–1Churriana Vega2–3Almería II0–4Granada II2–1Málaga II1–6Marbelli25/10Arenas Armilla01/11Mancha Real08/11Top Scorers
MarbelliAtlético PorcunaCards Given
MarbelliAtlético Porcuna