Mancha Real vs Alhaurino — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Mancha Real and Alhaurino meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Mancha Real have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 0.71 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Alhaurino have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Mancha Real and 1.07 for Alhaurino. The models give Mancha Real a 40% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Alhaurino win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Mancha RealAlhaurinoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Mancha Real | Home | Away | Alhaurino | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 100% | 25% | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 25% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 0% | 75% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Mancha Real | Home | Away | Alhaurino | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mancha Real | Alhaurino | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 57% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mancha Real | Alhaurino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 14% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 57% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 14% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Mancha Real (H)
Torre del Mar1–3
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1–1
Marbelli1–1Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1–2
Huétor Vega2–1
UD Melilla II0–0Alhaurino (A)Marbelli2–0
Motril0–2
Almería II0–2
Arenas Armilla1–0
Torreperogil0–2Torre del Mar0–1Head to Head · 2 matches
Mancha RealAlhaurino| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | Almería II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 | Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Churriana Vega | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Granada II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Atlético Porcuna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Huétor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Mancha Real | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Cantoria | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Malaga City | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
Mancha Real- ●Mancha Real failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Mancha Real have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Alhaurino—
Season Schedule
Mancha RealMalaga City2–1Torre del Mar1–3Huétor Vega0–3Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1–1Atletico de Marbella0–1Arenas Armilla0–1Alhaurino25/10UD San Pedro01/11Atlético Porcuna08/11AlhaurinoArenas Armilla2–2Marbelli2–0Melilla1–2Motril0–2Churriana Vega2–1Almería II0–2Mancha Real25/10Ciudad de Torredonjimeno01/11Huétor Vega08/11Top Scorers
Mancha RealAlhaurinoCards Given
Mancha RealAlhaurino