Bembibre vs UD Santa Marta — Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
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Bembibre and UD Santa Marta meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Bembibre have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. UD Santa Marta have won 58% of their 12 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Bembibre and 1.00 for UD Santa Marta. The models give Bembibre a 38% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an UD Santa Marta win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
BembibreUD Santa MartaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Bembibre | Home | Away | UD Santa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 83% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 25% | 75% | 42% | 57% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Bembibre | Home | Away | UD Santa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 58% | 43% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 14% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 42% | 57% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bembibre | UD Santa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bembibre | UD Santa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Bembibre (H)
Arandina1–1
La Virgen del Camino2–0
Atlético Mansillés0–2
Mirandés II1–1
Becerril Campos4–1UD Santa Marta2–2UD Santa (A)Mirandés II0–0
Burgos Promesas1–1
Palencia CF0–3
Villaralbo2–1
Atlético Tordesillas1–1
Guijuelo0–2Head to Head · 14 matches
UD Santa MartaBembibreUD Santa MartaBembibreUD Santa MartaBembibreUD Santa MartaBembibreBembibreUD Santa MartaBembibreUD Santa MartaUD Santa MartaBembibre| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cristo Atlético | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 | UD Santa Marta | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 |  Cultural Leonesa II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 | Burgos Promesas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 5 | Palencia CF | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 | Bembibre | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 | La Virgen del Camino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Atlético Mansillés | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Arandina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Almazán | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Guijuelo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 12 | Villaralbo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Turégano | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 |  Calasanz de Soria | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 |  Unionistas II | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Colegios Diocesanos | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Salamanca II | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 | Mirandés II | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
Team Insights
Bembibre- ●64% of Bembibre's points have been earned away.
UD Santa- ●UD Santa Marta have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●UD Santa Marta have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●UD Santa Marta have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●73% of UD Santa Marta's goals have been scored at home.
- ●UD Santa Marta have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BembibreVillaralbo0–2Arandina1–1Unionistas II2–1La Virgen del Camino2–0Guijuelo2–1Atlético Mansillés0–2Colegios Diocesanos01/11Palencia CF08/11Cultural Leonesa II15/11UD SantaAlmazán2–1Mirandés II0–0Burgos Promesas1–1Cultural Leonesa II2–0Palencia CF0–3Colegios Diocesanos3–0Salamanca II31/10Calasanz de Soria08/11Turégano15/11Top Scorers
BembibreUD SantaCards Given
BembibreUD Santa