UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético — Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
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UD Santa Marta and Cristo Atlético meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 2026 season on 22 November 2026. UD Santa Marta have recorded 7 wins from 12 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Cristo Atlético have won 60% of their 10 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 20%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for UD Santa Marta and 1.03 for Cristo Atlético. The models give UD Santa Marta a 40% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Cristo Atlético win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| UD Santa | Home | Away | Cristo Atlético | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 60% | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 57% | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 14% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 40% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| UD Santa | Home | Away | Cristo Atlético | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 43% | 80% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 14% | 20% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 57% | 20% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UD Santa | Cristo Atlético | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 20% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 10% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UD Santa | Cristo Atlético | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 70% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 9 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 10 | |
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +5 | 9 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 | |
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●UD Santa Marta have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●UD Santa Marta have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●UD Santa Marta have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●73% of UD Santa Marta's goals have been scored at home.
- ●UD Santa Marta have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Cristo Atlético have won their last 6 matches.
- ●Cristo Atlético have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Cristo Atlético have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Cristo Atlético have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Cristo Atlético have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cristo Atlético have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cristo Atlético have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Cristo Atlético have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.