Turégano vs UD Santa Marta — Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
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Turégano and UD Santa Marta meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Turégano have recorded 1 wins from 8 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. UD Santa Marta have won 58% of their 12 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Turégano and 1.24 for UD Santa Marta. The models give Turégano a 34% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an UD Santa Marta win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
TuréganoUD Santa MartaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Turégano | Home | Away | UD Santa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 80% | 67% | 83% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 20% | 33% | 42% | 57% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 20% | 0% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 20% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Turégano | Home | Away | UD Santa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 100% | 67% | 58% | 43% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 60% | 33% | 17% | 14% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 20% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 0% | 33% | 42% | 57% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Turégano | UD Santa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 75% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Turégano | UD Santa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 75% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 25% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Turégano (H)
Colegios Diocesanos3–2
Arandina1–1
La Virgen del Camino0–1
Guijuelo1–3
Atlético Mansillés1–2
Celta Vigo0–4UD Santa (A)
Mirandés II0–0
Burgos Promesas1–1
Palencia CF0–3
Villaralbo2–1
Atlético Tordesillas1–1Guijuelo0–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cristo Atlético | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 | UD Santa Marta | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 |  Cultural Leonesa II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 | Burgos Promesas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 5 | Palencia CF | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Bembibre | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 | La Virgen del Camino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Atlético Mansillés | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Arandina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Almazán | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Guijuelo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 12 | Villaralbo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 | Turégano | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 |  Calasanz de Soria | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 |  Unionistas II | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Colegios Diocesanos | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Salamanca II | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 | Mirandés II | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
Team Insights
Turégano- ●Turégano have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Turégano failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Turégano have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Turégano failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●67% of Turégano's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Turégano's goals conceded were conceded at home.
UD Santa- ●UD Santa Marta have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●UD Santa Marta have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●UD Santa Marta have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●73% of UD Santa Marta's goals have been scored at home.
- ●UD Santa Marta have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
TuréganoPalencia CF1–1Colegios Diocesanos3–2Villaralbo2–2Arandina1–1Unionistas II0–0La Virgen del Camino0–1Cultural Leonesa II01/11Burgos Promesas08/11UD Santa Marta15/11UD SantaAlmazán2–1Mirandés II0–0Burgos Promesas1–1Cultural Leonesa II2–0Palencia CF0–3Colegios Diocesanos3–0Salamanca II31/10Calasanz de Soria08/11Turégano15/11Top Scorers
TuréganoUD Santa