Pozuelo Alarcón vs Móstoles — Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
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Pozuelo Alarcón and Móstoles meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Pozuelo Alarcón have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Móstoles have won 57% of their 7 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 57%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.75 for Pozuelo Alarcón and 1.54 for Móstoles. The models give Pozuelo Alarcón a 44% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Móstoles win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Pozuelo Alarcón—
Móstoles7º
Position
2º
1.71
PPG
2.00
43%
Win %
57%
1.71
Goals / game
1.43
1.86
Conceded / game
0.57
67%
BTTS %
43%
22%
Clean sheet %
57%
33%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Pozuelo Alarcón
Home (3)
—
Móstoles
Away (3)
2.33
PPG
2.00
67%
Win %
67%
2.67
Goals / game
1.67
2.00
Conceded / game
1.00
75%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
33%
50%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Pozuelo Alarcón | Home | Away | Móstoles | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 80% | 100% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 40% | 0% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 40% | 0% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 20% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Pozuelo Alarcón | Home | Away | Móstoles | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 80% | 60% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 40% | 20% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pozuelo Alarcón | Móstoles | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 13% |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pozuelo Alarcón | Móstoles | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Pozuelo Alarcón (H)W
Torrejón1–0
Torrejón1–0W
Alcobendas Sport4–3
Alcobendas Sport4–3W
SS Reyes II3–2
SS Reyes II3–2D
RC Alcobendas1–1
RC Alcobendas1–1L
Marchamalo0–1
Marchamalo0–1W
Tres Cantos3–1
Tres Cantos3–1Móstoles (A)W
Villanueva Pardillo6–1
Villanueva Pardillo6–1L
Unión Adarve1–2
Unión Adarve1–2WTorrejón1–0
Torrejón1–0W
Fuenlabrada3–1
Fuenlabrada3–1D
A Madrid III1–1
A Madrid III1–1LPozuelo Alarcón0–2
Pozuelo Alarcón0–2Head to Head · 8 matches
1
Pozuelo Alarcón
13%
3
Draws
38%
4
Móstoles
50%
88%
Over 1.5
7/8
38%
Over 2.5
3/8
25%
Over 3.5
2/8
50%
BTTS
4/8
25/04/26Móstoles
Pozuelo Alarcón
2–0Móstoles21/12/25Pozuelo Alarcón
Móstoles
1–1Pozuelo Alarcón10/03/24Pozuelo Alarcón
Móstoles
4–0Pozuelo Alarcón22/10/23Móstoles
Pozuelo Alarcón
2–3Móstoles05/03/23Pozuelo Alarcón
Móstoles
2–0Pozuelo Alarcón30/10/22Móstoles
Pozuelo Alarcón
1–1Móstoles19/01/20Pozuelo Alarcón
Móstoles
0–0Pozuelo Alarcón01/09/19Móstoles
Pozuelo Alarcón
1–2Móstoles| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Las Rozas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 2 | Móstoles | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 |  Cala Pozuelo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 4 |  Colonia Moscardó | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +9 | 13 |
| 5 | Unión Adarve | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Trival Valderas | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 | Pozuelo Alarcón | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Galapagar | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Torrejón | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 10 |  Leganés II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 | Fuenlabrada | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | RC Alcobendas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Real Aranjuez | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | SS Reyes II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Alcobendas Sport | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  Parla Escuela | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rayo Vallecano II | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Villanueva Pardillo | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -12 | 4 |
Team Insights
Pozuelo Alarcón- ●Pozuelo Alarcón have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Pozuelo Alarcón have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Pozuelo Alarcón have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Pozuelo Alarcón have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Pozuelo Alarcón have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pozuelo Alarcón have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●69% of Pozuelo Alarcón's goals have been scored at home.
Móstoles- ●Móstoles have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Móstoles have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Móstoles have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Móstoles have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●69% of Móstoles's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
Pozuelo AlarcónWHTorrejón1–0
Torrejón1–0WAFuenlabrada1–0
Fuenlabrada1–0WHAlcobendas Sport4–3
Alcobendas Sport4–3LAColonia Moscardó1–5
Colonia Moscardó1–5WHSS Reyes II3–2
SS Reyes II3–2DATrival Valderas1–1
Trival Valderas1–1–AUnión Adarve31/10
Unión Adarve31/10–HVillanueva Pardillo08/11
Villanueva Pardillo08/11–AParla Escuela15/11
Parla Escuela15/11MóstolesWAVillanueva Pardillo6–1
Villanueva Pardillo6–1WHGalapagar3–0
Galapagar3–0LAUnión Adarve1–2
Unión Adarve1–2DHLeganés II1–1
Leganés II1–1WATorrejón1–0
Torrejón1–0WHCala Pozuelo1–0
Cala Pozuelo1–0–HRC Alcobendas01/11
RC Alcobendas01/11–AParla Escuela08/11
Parla Escuela08/11–HTrival Valderas15/11
Trival Valderas15/11Top Scorers
Pozuelo Alarcón6 ⚽
Clinton2 ⚽
A. Martin2 ⚽
V. Gamarra1 ⚽
H. Fuentes1 ⚽
A. Gallego1 ⚽
Móstoles6 ⚽
A. Perez2 ⚽
J. Diaz Hervas2 ⚽
T. Acuna2 ⚽
A. Moreno1 ⚽
Moreno Alberto1 ⚽
Cards Given
Pozuelo AlarcónMóstolesJuanpe1 🟨