Móstoles vs Trival Valderas — Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
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Móstoles and Trival Valderas meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Móstoles have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 57% of games. Trival Valderas have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Móstoles and 1.00 for Trival Valderas. The models give Móstoles a 43% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Trival Valderas win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Móstoles—
Trival Valderas2º
Position
6º
2.00
PPG
1.71
57%
Win %
43%
1.43
Goals / game
1.43
0.57
Conceded / game
1.00
43%
BTTS %
71%
57%
Clean sheet %
14%
43%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Móstoles
Home (4)
—
Trival Valderas
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
1.33
50%
Win %
33%
1.25
Goals / game
0.67
0.25
Conceded / game
0.67
25%
BTTS %
33%
75%
Clean sheet %
33%
25%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Móstoles | Home | Away | Trival Valderas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 75% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 25% | 50% | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 25% | 50% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Móstoles | Home | Away | Trival Valderas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 25% | 75% | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 75% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Móstoles | Trival Valderas | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Móstoles | Trival Valderas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 13% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Móstoles (H)W
Galapagar3–0
Galapagar3–0D
Leganés II1–1
Leganés II1–1W
Cala Pozuelo1–0
Cala Pozuelo1–0D
Rayo Vallecano II0–0
Rayo Vallecano II0–0L
Villanueva Pardillo3–5
Villanueva Pardillo3–5DLeganés II1–1
Leganés II1–1Trival Valderas (A)DLeganés II2–2
Leganés II2–2LRayo Vallecano II0–1
Rayo Vallecano II0–1W
Real Aranjuez2–1
Real Aranjuez2–1D
Parla Escuela0–0
Parla Escuela0–0L
La Nucía0–1
La Nucía0–1D
Las Rozas1–1
Las Rozas1–1Head to Head · 10 matches
6
Móstoles
60%
0
Draws
0%
4
Trival Valderas
40%
80%
Over 1.5
8/10
80%
Over 2.5
8/10
30%
Over 3.5
3/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
12/04/26Móstoles
Trival Valderas
1–0Móstoles07/12/25Trival Valderas
Móstoles
3–1Trival Valderas28/01/24Trival Valderas
Móstoles
3–1Trival Valderas10/09/23Móstoles
Trival Valderas
2–1Móstoles05/02/23Trival Valderas
Móstoles
1–0Trival Valderas02/10/22Móstoles
Trival Valderas
3–0Móstoles07/02/21Trival Valderas
Móstoles
2–1Trival Valderas08/11/20Móstoles
Trival Valderas
0–4Móstoles23/02/20Móstoles
Trival Valderas
1–2Móstoles06/10/19Trival Valderas
Móstoles
0–3Trival Valderas| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Rozas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 2 | Móstoles | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 | Cala Pozuelo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 4 |  Colonia Moscardó | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +9 | 13 |
| 5 |  Unión Adarve | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Trival Valderas | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 |  Pozuelo Alarcón | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Galapagar | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Torrejón | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 10 | Leganés II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Fuenlabrada | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 |  RC Alcobendas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Real Aranjuez | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 |  SS Reyes II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 |  Alcobendas Sport | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Parla Escuela | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano II | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Villanueva Pardillo | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -12 | 4 |
Team Insights
Móstoles- ●Móstoles have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Móstoles have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Móstoles have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Móstoles have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●69% of Móstoles's goals have been scored away.
Trival Valderas- ●Trival Valderas have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Trival Valderas failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Trival Valderas have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Trival Valderas have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Trival Valderas's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Trival Valderas have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MóstolesWAVillanueva Pardillo6–1
Villanueva Pardillo6–1WHGalapagar3–0
Galapagar3–0LAUnión Adarve1–2
Unión Adarve1–2DHLeganés II1–1
Leganés II1–1WATorrejón1–0
Torrejón1–0WHCala Pozuelo1–0
Cala Pozuelo1–0–HRC Alcobendas01/11
RC Alcobendas01/11–AParla Escuela08/11
Parla Escuela08/11–HTrival Valderas15/11
Trival Valderas15/11Trival ValderasDALeganés II2–2
Leganés II2–2DHCala Pozuelo2–2
Cala Pozuelo2–2LARayo Vallecano II0–1
Rayo Vallecano II0–1WHLas Rozas2–1
Las Rozas2–1WAReal Aranjuez2–1
Real Aranjuez2–1DHPozuelo Alarcón1–1
Pozuelo Alarcón1–1–HGalapagar01/11
Galapagar01/11–ARC Alcobendas08/11
RC Alcobendas08/11–AMóstoles15/11
Móstoles15/11Top Scorers
Móstoles6 ⚽
A. Perez2 ⚽
J. Diaz Hervas2 ⚽
T. Acuna2 ⚽
A. Moreno1 ⚽
Moreno Alberto1 ⚽
Trival ValderasA. Rivero3 ⚽
M. Bielo2 ⚽
D. O. Raul1 ⚽
G. Yeboah1 ⚽
B. Adom1 ⚽
Perez Alex1 ⚽
Cards Given
MóstolesJuanpe1 🟨
Trival ValderasD. Pascual2 🟨
I. Fertis1 🟨