Aretxabaleta vs Leioa — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
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Aretxabaleta and Leioa meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Aretxabaleta have recorded 5 wins from 9 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Leioa have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 2.18 goals scored and 2.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Aretxabaleta and 1.74 for Leioa. The models give Aretxabaleta a 31% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Leioa win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Aretxabaleta | Home | Away | Leioa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 50% | 80% | 82% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 25% | 60% | 64% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 25% | 0% | 45% | 40% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 50% | 20% | 18% | 20% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Aretxabaleta | Home | Away | Leioa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 75% | 40% | 73% | 60% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 75% | 0% | 45% | 20% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 20% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 25% | 60% | 27% | 40% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aretxabaleta | Leioa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 78% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 45% |
| BTTS | 44% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 45% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aretxabaleta | Leioa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 9% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 4 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +14 | 19 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 10 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 | |
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -5 | 6 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Aretxabaleta have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Aretxabaleta have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Aretxabaleta have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Aretxabaleta have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Aretxabaleta's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●76% of Aretxabaleta's points have been earned away.
- ●Leioa have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Leioa have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Leioa have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Leioa have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leioa have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Leioa have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Leioa have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Leioa have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Leioa have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Leioa failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Leioa have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●80% of Leioa's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Leioa have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.