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Aretxabaleta vs Leioa — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

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Aretxabaleta
Aretxabaleta
4º · 1.89 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 36d 0h
vs
–
–
Leioa
Leioa
1º · 2.11 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 36d 1h
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Aretxabaleta and Leioa meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Aretxabaleta have recorded 5 wins from 9 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Leioa have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 2.18 goals scored and 2.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 27%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Aretxabaleta and 1.74 for Leioa. The models give Aretxabaleta a 31% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Leioa win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.

Season Statistics

Aretxabaleta
—
Leioa
4º
Position
1º
1.89
PPG
2.11
56%
Win %
56%
1.33
Goals / game
2.67
0.89
Conceded / game
1.11
44%
BTTS %
55%
44%
Clean sheet %
27%
44%
Over 2.5 %
82%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Aretxabaleta
Home (4)
—
Leioa
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
1.80
25%
Win %
40%
1.25
Goals / game
2.80
1.50
Conceded / game
1.60
50%
BTTS %
67%
25%
Clean sheet %
17%
50%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

AretxabaletaHomeAwayLeioaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored67%50%80%82%80%83%
Over 1.5 Scored44%25%60%64%60%67%
Over 2.5 Scored11%25%0%45%40%50%
Failed To Score33%50%20%18%20%17%

Goals Conceded

AretxabaletaHomeAwayLeioaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded56%75%40%73%60%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded33%75%0%45%20%67%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%27%20%33%
Clean Sheets44%25%60%27%40%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

AretxabaletaLeioa
Over 0.578%100%
Over 1.567%100%
Over 2.544%82%
Over 3.511%64%
Over 4.511%45%
BTTS44%55%
BTTS & Win33%18%
BTTS & Draw0%36%
BTTS & Over 2.544%36%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%45%

1st Half / 2nd Half

AretxabaletaLeioa
Win 1st Half33%36%
Draw 1st Half44%27%
Loss 1st Half22%36%
Scored 1st Half44%64%
Conceded 1st Half33%55%
Win 2nd Half44%55%
Draw 2nd Half22%9%
Loss 2nd Half33%36%
Scored 2nd Half44%55%
Conceded 2nd Half33%36%
Over 0.5 HT67%91%
Over 1.5 HT22%64%

Recent Venue Form

Aretxabaleta (H)
LEibar III0–2
WPasaia KE4–2
LDerio1–2
DBeasain0–0
WZamudio3–1
LReal Sociedad III2–5
Leioa (A)
WErandio3–2
DDeportivo Alavés III2–2
WAmurrio Club5–0
DR. Union B3–3
LBergantiños0–5
DLagun Onak1–1

Head to Head · 4 matches

3
Aretxabaleta
75%
0
Draws
0%
1
Leioa
25%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
100%
Over 2.5
4/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
100%
BTTS
4/4
14/02/26
Aretxabaleta
3–2
Leioa
05/10/25
Leioa
2–4
Aretxabaleta
01/02/25
Leioa
2–1
Aretxabaleta
22/09/24
Aretxabaleta
2–1
Leioa
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Leioa9540+1419
2Aurrerá Vitoria9612019
3Derio9531+518
4Aretxabaleta9522+417
5Deportivo Alavés III9432+1015
6Real Sociedad III9432+415
7Touring9432+415
8San Ignacio9423+514
9Eibar III9423+414
10Durango9351+314
11Beasain9324011
12Sodupe9324-911
13Pasaia KE9315-710
14Santurtzi9306-59
15Lagun Onak9225-58
16R. Union B9144-77
17Erandio9207-56
18Amurrio Club9018-151

Team Insights

Aretxabaleta
  • ●Aretxabaleta have won their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Aretxabaleta have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Aretxabaleta have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Aretxabaleta have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●75% of Aretxabaleta's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●76% of Aretxabaleta's points have been earned away.
Leioa
  • ●Leioa have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Leioa have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
  • ●Leioa have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Leioa have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Leioa have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Leioa have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Leioa have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Leioa have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Leioa have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Leioa failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Leioa have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●80% of Leioa's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Leioa have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
WAAmurrio Club18º2–1
LHEibar III9º0–2
WAR. Union B16º2–0
WHPasaia KE13º4–2
WALagun Onak15º2–1
LHDerio3º1–2
DADurango10º0–0
DHBeasain11º0–0
WATouring7º1–0
WHZamudio16º3–1
WAErandio17º3–2
WHSodupe12º3–0
WAAmurrio Club18º5–0
WHEibar III9º2–1
DAR. Union B16º3–3
DHPasaia KE13º1–1
DALagun Onak15º1–1

Season Schedule

Aretxabaleta
WAAmurrio Club2–1
LHEibar III0–2
WAR. Union B2–0
WHPasaia KE4–2
WALagun Onak2–1
LHDerio1–2
–HAurrerá Vitoria08/11
–ADeportivo Alavés III15/11
–HSodupe22/11
Leioa
WAErandio3–2
WHSodupe3–0
DADeportivo Alavés III2–2
WHAurrerá Vitoria4–0
WAAmurrio Club5–0
WHEibar III2–1
–HTouring08/11
–HReal Sociedad III15/11
–ASan Ignacio22/11

Top Scorers

Aretxabaleta
M. Ibarrondo Martinez3 ⚽
M. T. Gourmat3 ⚽
A. Tomas Carrasco2 ⚽
E. Zumarraga2 ⚽
A. Fernandez Pacheco1 ⚽
E. Garcia1 ⚽
Leioa
E. Etxebarria6 ⚽
A. Perez3 ⚽
A. Gayoso2 ⚽
Enekoru2 ⚽
D. R. Lamborena2 ⚽
2 ⚽