Santurtzi vs Real Sociedad III — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
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Santurtzi and Real Sociedad III meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Santurtzi have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 0.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Real Sociedad III have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 1.78 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for Santurtzi and 1.23 for Real Sociedad III. The models give Santurtzi a 35% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Real Sociedad III win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
SanturtziReal Sociedad IIIHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Santurtzi | Home | Away | Real Sociedad | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 75% | 50% | 78% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 50% | 0% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 25% | 50% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Santurtzi | Home | Away | Real Sociedad | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 75% | 100% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 0% | 83% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 17% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Santurtzi | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS | 50% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Santurtzi | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 56% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Santurtzi (H)
Amurrio Club2–1
R. Union B1–0
Lagun Onak0–1
Durango2–1
Aretxabaleta2–1Real Sociedad III0–3Real Sociedad (A)
Sodupe3–0
Aurrerá Vitoria0–2
Eibar III3–2
Pasaia KE2–3
Derio0–0
Añorga2–1Head to Head · 3 matches
Real Sociedad IIISanturtziReal Sociedad III| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Leioa | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +14 | 19 |
| 2 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 |
| 3 | Derio | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | Aretxabaleta | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Alavés III | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 15 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad III | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 |  Touring | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  San Ignacio | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 | Eibar III | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 10 | Durango | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 11 |  Beasain | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Sodupe | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 11 |
| 13 | Pasaia KE | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Lagun Onak | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | R. Union B | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 |  Erandio | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 1 |
Team Insights
Santurtzi- ●Santurtzi have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Santurtzi have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Santurtzi failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Santurtzi failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Santurtzi have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Santurtzi's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Santurtzi's points have been earned at home.
Real Sociedad- ●Real Sociedad III have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Real Sociedad III have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Season Schedule
SanturtziAurrerá Vitoria1–2Amurrio Club2–1Eibar III1–2R. Union B1–0Pasaia KE0–1Lagun Onak0–1Deportivo Alavés III08/11Sodupe15/11Erandio22/11Real SociedadSodupe3–0Deportivo Alavés III2–2Aurrerá Vitoria0–2Amurrio Club1–0Eibar III3–2R. Union B3–3Erandio07/11Leioa15/11Touring22/11Top Scorers
SanturtziReal SociedadCards Given
SanturtziReal Sociedad