Derio vs Deportivo Alavés III — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
From€8.99/Mo
Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime
Derio and Deportivo Alavés III meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Derio have recorded 5 wins from 13 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.31 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Deportivo Alavés III have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 2.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Derio and 1.12 for Deportivo Alavés III. The models give Derio a 45% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Deportivo Alavés III win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Derio—
Deportivo Alavés III3º
Position
5º
2.00
PPG
1.67
56%
Win %
44%
1.44
Goals / game
2.22
0.89
Conceded / game
1.11
54%
BTTS %
70%
23%
Clean sheet %
30%
38%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Derio
Home (4)
—
Deportivo Alavés III
Away (4)
2.50
PPG
1.25
75%
Win %
25%
1.50
Goals / game
1.50
0.25
Conceded / game
1.25
29%
BTTS %
80%
43%
Clean sheet %
20%
43%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Derio | Home | Away | Deportivo Alavés | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 57% | 83% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 57% | 33% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 14% | 17% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 43% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Derio | Home | Away | Deportivo Alavés | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 57% | 100% | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 29% | 33% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 43% | 0% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Derio | Deportivo Alavés | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 15% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 20% |
| BTTS | 54% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Derio | Deportivo Alavés | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 10% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 80% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 100% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Derio (H)W
Lagun Onak2–1
Lagun Onak2–1W
Beasain2–0
Beasain2–0W
Santurtzi2–0
Santurtzi2–0L
Salamanca UDS3–5
Salamanca UDS3–5D
Real Sociedad III0–0
Real Sociedad III0–0L
Sestao River0–1
Sestao River0–1Deportivo Alavés (A)DReal Sociedad III2–2
Real Sociedad III2–2W
Erandio2–0
Erandio2–0L
Aurrerá Vitoria1–2
Aurrerá Vitoria1–2D
Eibar III1–1
Eibar III1–1W
Real Aranjuez6–1
Real Aranjuez6–1W
San Ignacio1–0
San Ignacio1–0Head to Head · 6 matches
2
Derio
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Deportivo Alavés
33%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
67%
BTTS
4/6
26/04/26Derio
Deportivo Alavés III
2–3Derio20/12/25Deportivo Alavés III
Derio
2–3Deportivo Alavés III10/05/25Derio
Deportivo Alavés III
1–1Derio11/01/25Deportivo Alavés III
Derio
2–0Deportivo Alavés III05/05/24Deportivo Alavés III
Derio
1–1Deportivo Alavés III14/01/24Derio
Deportivo Alavés III
1–0Derio| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Leioa | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +14 | 19 |
| 2 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 |
| 3 | Derio | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Aretxabaleta | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 | Deportivo Alavés III | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 15 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad III | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 |  Touring | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 | Eibar III | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 10 |  Durango | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 11 | Beasain | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Sodupe | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 11 |
| 13 |  Pasaia KE | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Lagun Onak | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 |  R. Union B | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Erandio | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |  Amurrio Club | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 1 |
Team Insights
Derio- ●Derio have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Derio have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Derio failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Derio failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●87% of Derio's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Derio have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Deportivo Alavés- ●Deportivo Alavés III have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Deportivo Alavés III have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Deportivo Alavés III have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Deportivo Alavés III have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Alavés III have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Alavés III have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●70% of Deportivo Alavés III's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Deportivo Alavés III have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
DerioWAPasaia KE3–2
Pasaia KE3–2WHLagun Onak2–1
Lagun Onak2–1LATouring0–2
Touring0–2DADurango1–1
Durango1–1WHBeasain2–0
Beasain2–0WAAretxabaleta2–1
Aretxabaleta2–1–HR. Union B08/11
R. Union B08/11–AEibar III14/11
Eibar III14/11–HAmurrio Club22/11
Amurrio Club22/11Deportivo AlavésWHSan Ignacio3–0
San Ignacio3–0DAReal Sociedad III2–2
Real Sociedad III2–2DHLeioa2–2
Leioa2–2WAErandio2–0
Erandio2–0WHSodupe5–1
Sodupe5–1LHTouring1–2
Touring1–2–ASanturtzi08/11
Santurtzi08/11–HAretxabaleta15/11
Aretxabaleta15/11–ABeasain22/11
Beasain22/11Top Scorers
Derio4 ⚽
G. Carreras Arino3 ⚽
E. Garcia3 ⚽
Egileor2 ⚽
A. Lacuesta Terre2 ⚽
A. Fernandez1 ⚽
Deportivo Alavés11 ⚽
A. Cantero Sanchez3 ⚽
E. Fernandez3 ⚽
M. Albarracin2 ⚽
A. Aranguren2 ⚽
O. Amin1 ⚽
Cards Given
DerioA. Santamaria1 🟨
M. De Urbina1 🟨
U. Boada1 🟨
Deportivo Alavés