Santurtzi vs Erandio — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

Santurtzi and Erandio meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Santurtzi have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 0.63 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Erandio have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 25%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Santurtzi and 1.01 for Erandio. The models give Santurtzi a 45% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Erandio win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 48%.