Durango vs Aurrerá Vitoria — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
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Durango and Aurrerá Vitoria meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Durango have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Aurrerá Vitoria have won 63% of their 8 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Durango and 1.11 for Aurrerá Vitoria. The models give Durango a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Aurrerá Vitoria win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
DurangoAurrerá VitoriaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Durango | Home | Away | Aurrerá Vitoria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 75% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 50% | 75% | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Durango | Home | Away | Aurrerá Vitoria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 50% | 100% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Durango | Aurrerá Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS | 75% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 38% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Durango | Aurrerá Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 63% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Durango (H)
Pasaia KE2–0
Derio1–1
Aretxabaleta0–0
San Ignacio3–3
Santurtzi4–1Pasaia KE0–0Aurrerá Vitoria (A)San Ignacio0–5
Leioa0–4
Sodupe3–0
Amurrio Club2–1
Portugalete2–1Derio1–1Head to Head · 4 matches
Aurrerá VitoriaDurangoDurangoAurrerá Vitoria| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leioa | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +13 | 16 |
| 2 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 16 |
| 3 | Derio | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 | San Ignacio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 | Aretxabaleta | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 |  Touring | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Durango | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Alavés III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 11 |
| 9 |  Beasain | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Sodupe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Pasaia KE | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Eibar III | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Lagun Onak | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 |  Erandio | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Santurtzi | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  R. Union B | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 1 |
Team Insights
Durango- ●Durango have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Durango have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Durango have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Durango have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Durango have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Durango have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
Aurrerá Vitoria- ●Aurrerá Vitoria have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Aurrerá Vitoria have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aurrerá Vitoria have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●77% of Aurrerá Vitoria's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
DurangoPasaia KE2–0Lagun Onak2–1Derio1–1Touring2–2Beasain2–1Aretxabaleta0–0R. Union B01/11Eibar III08/11Amurrio Club15/11Aurrerá VitoriaSan Ignacio0–5Real Sociedad III2–0Leioa0–4Erandio2–1Sodupe3–0Deportivo Alavés III2–1Santurtzi31/10Aretxabaleta08/11Beasain15/11Top Scorers
DurangoAurrerá VitoriaCards Given
DurangoAurrerá Vitoria