Leioa vs Real Sociedad III — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
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Leioa and Real Sociedad III meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Leioa have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 2.10 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Real Sociedad III have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for Leioa and 1.11 for Real Sociedad III. The models give Leioa a 55% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Real Sociedad III win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
LeioaReal Sociedad IIIHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Leioa | Home | Away | Real Sociedad | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 80% | 80% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 60% | 60% | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 40% | 40% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 20% | 20% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Leioa | Home | Away | Real Sociedad | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 60% | 80% | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 20% | 60% | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 20% | 40% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leioa | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 38% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 40% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 50% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leioa | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 63% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 10% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Leioa (H)
Sodupe3–0
Aurrerá Vitoria4–0
Eibar III2–1
Pasaia KE1–1
Athletic Club0–11
Albacete II1–0Real Sociedad (A)Aurrerá Vitoria0–2Eibar III3–2Pasaia KE2–3
Derio0–0
Añorga2–1
Aretxabaleta5–2Head to Head · 2 matches
Real Sociedad IIILeioa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leioa | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +13 | 16 |
| 2 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 16 |
| 3 | Derio | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  San Ignacio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 | Aretxabaleta | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 |  Touring | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Durango | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Alavés III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 11 |
| 9 |  Beasain | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Sodupe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Pasaia KE | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Eibar III | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Lagun Onak | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 |  Erandio | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 |  Santurtzi | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  R. Union B | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 |  Amurrio Club | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 1 |
Team Insights
Leioa- ●Leioa have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Leioa have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Leioa have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Leioa have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leioa have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Leioa have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Leioa have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Leioa have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Leioa have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●75% of Leioa's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Leioa have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Real Sociedad- ●Real Sociedad III have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Real Sociedad III have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Real Sociedad III have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●62% of Real Sociedad III's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
LeioaSodupe3–0Deportivo Alavés III2–2Aurrerá Vitoria4–0Amurrio Club5–0Eibar III2–1R. Union B3–3Erandio01/11Touring08/11Real Sociedad III15/11Real SociedadDeportivo Alavés III2–2Aurrerá Vitoria0–2Amurrio Club1–0Eibar III3–2R. Union B3–3Pasaia KE2–3Sodupe01/11Erandio08/11Leioa15/11Top Scorers
LeioaReal SociedadCards Given
LeioaReal Sociedad