Erandio vs San Ignacio — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
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Erandio and San Ignacio meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Erandio have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. San Ignacio have won 56% of their 9 matches, with 2.22 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.04 for Erandio and 1.26 for San Ignacio. The models give Erandio a 28% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an San Ignacio win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
ErandioSan IgnacioHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Erandio | Home | Away | San Ignacio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 25% | 75% | 89% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 75% | 25% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Erandio | Home | Away | San Ignacio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Erandio | San Ignacio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS | 25% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Erandio | San Ignacio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Erandio (H)
Touring0–1
Deportivo Alavés III0–2
Amurrio Club2–0
R. Union B0–1San Ignacio (A)Amurrio Club1–0R. Union B3–0
Lagun Onak0–1
Durango3–3
La Calzada4–1Touring2–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Leioa | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +13 | 16 |
| 2 |  Aurrerá Vitoria | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 16 |
| 3 |  Derio | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 | San Ignacio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |  Aretxabaleta | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Touring | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Durango | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Deportivo Alavés III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 11 |
| 9 |  Beasain | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Sodupe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 |  Pasaia KE | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Eibar III | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Lagun Onak | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Erandio | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 |  Santurtzi | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | R. Union B | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 1 |
Team Insights
Erandio- ●Erandio have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Erandio have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Erandio have lost their last 3 away matches.
San Ignacio- ●San Ignacio have won their last 4 matches.
- ●San Ignacio have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●San Ignacio have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●San Ignacio have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●San Ignacio have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●San Ignacio have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●San Ignacio have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
ErandioTouring0–1Sodupe0–1Deportivo Alavés III0–2Aurrerá Vitoria1–2Amurrio Club2–0Eibar III1–3Leioa01/11Real Sociedad III08/11San Ignacio15/11San IgnacioAurrerá Vitoria5–0Amurrio Club1–0Eibar III2–1R. Union B3–0Pasaia KE1–2Lagun Onak0–1Deportivo Alavés III31/10Sodupe08/11Erandio15/11Top Scorers
ErandioSan Ignacio