Aurrerá Vitoria vs Beasain — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
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Aurrerá Vitoria and Beasain meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Aurrerá Vitoria have recorded 5 wins from 8 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Beasain have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Aurrerá Vitoria and 1.02 for Beasain. The models give Aurrerá Vitoria a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Beasain win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Aurrerá VitoriaBeasainHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Aurrerá Vitoria | Home | Away | Beasain | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 50% | 73% | 100% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 75% | 50% | 55% | 67% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 0% | 50% | 27% | 0% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| Aurrerá Vitoria | Home | Away | Beasain | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 82% | 83% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 55% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aurrerá Vitoria | Beasain | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 27% |
| BTTS | 50% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 38% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aurrerá Vitoria | Beasain | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 18% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 55% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Aurrerá Vitoria (H)
Real Sociedad III2–0
Erandio2–1
Deportivo Alavés III2–1
Touring1–1
Deusto2–1
San Ignacio0–1Beasain (A)
Pasaia KE4–1
Derio0–2Touring0–2
Aretxabaleta0–0
Lagun Onak2–2
Náxara0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Leioa | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +13 | 16 |
| 2 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 16 |
| 3 | Derio | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 | San Ignacio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 | Aretxabaleta | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Touring | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Durango | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Deportivo Alavés III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 11 |
| 9 | Beasain | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Sodupe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Pasaia KE | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Eibar III | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Lagun Onak | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Erandio | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 |  Santurtzi | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  R. Union B | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 |  Amurrio Club | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 1 |
Team Insights
Aurrerá Vitoria- ●Aurrerá Vitoria have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Aurrerá Vitoria have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aurrerá Vitoria have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●77% of Aurrerá Vitoria's goals conceded were conceded away.
Beasain- ●Beasain have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Beasain failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Beasain have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Beasain's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Beasain have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Aurrerá VitoriaSan Ignacio0–5Real Sociedad III2–0Leioa0–4Erandio2–1Sodupe3–0Deportivo Alavés III2–1Santurtzi31/10Aretxabaleta08/11Beasain15/11BeasainR. Union B1–1Pasaia KE4–1Lagun Onak4–2Derio0–2Durango1–2Touring0–2Eibar III01/11Amurrio Club08/11Aurrerá Vitoria15/11Top Scorers
Aurrerá VitoriaBeasain