Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Aretxabaleta and Aurrerá Vitoria meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Aretxabaleta have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Aurrerá Vitoria have won 63% of their 8 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Aretxabaleta and 1.26 for Aurrerá Vitoria. The models give Aretxabaleta a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Aurrerá Vitoria win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
AretxabaletaAurrerá VitoriaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Aretxabaleta | Home | Away | Aurrerá Vitoria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 50% | 75% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 25% | 50% | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Aretxabaleta | Home | Away | Aurrerá Vitoria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 75% | 25% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 75% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 25% | 75% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aretxabaleta | Aurrerá Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS | 38% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 38% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aretxabaleta | Aurrerá Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 14% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 14% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Aretxabaleta (H)
Eibar III0–2
Pasaia KE4–2
Derio1–2
Beasain0–0
Zamudio3–1
Real Sociedad III2–5Aurrerá Vitoria (A)
San Ignacio0–5
Leioa0–4
Sodupe3–0
Amurrio Club2–1
Portugalete2–1Derio1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
AretxabaletaAurrerá Vitoria| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leioa | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +13 | 16 |
| 2 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 16 |
| 3 | Derio | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 | San Ignacio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 | Aretxabaleta | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 |  Touring | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Durango | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Alavés III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 11 |
| 9 | Beasain | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Sodupe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Pasaia KE | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Eibar III | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Lagun Onak | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 |  Erandio | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 |  Santurtzi | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  R. Union B | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 1 |
Team Insights
Aretxabaleta- ●Aretxabaleta have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●71% of Aretxabaleta's points have been earned away.
Aurrerá Vitoria- ●Aurrerá Vitoria have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Aurrerá Vitoria have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aurrerá Vitoria have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●77% of Aurrerá Vitoria's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
AretxabaletaEibar III0–2R. Union B2–0Pasaia KE4–2Lagun Onak2–1Derio1–2Durango0–0Amurrio Club01/11Aurrerá Vitoria08/11Deportivo Alavés III15/11Aurrerá VitoriaSan Ignacio0–5Real Sociedad III2–0Leioa0–4Erandio2–1Sodupe3–0Deportivo Alavés III2–1Santurtzi31/10Aretxabaleta08/11Beasain15/11Top Scorers
AretxabaletaAurrerá Vitoria