Real Sociedad III vs Erandio — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
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Real Sociedad III and Erandio meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Real Sociedad III have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Erandio have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 25%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Real Sociedad III and 1.06 for Erandio. The models give Real Sociedad III a 54% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Erandio win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Real Sociedad IIIErandioHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Real Sociedad | Home | Away | Erandio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 67% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Sociedad | Home | Away | Erandio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 33% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 33% | 75% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 67% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Sociedad | Erandio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 43% | 0% |
| BTTS | 43% | 25% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Sociedad | Erandio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 25% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Sociedad (H)
Amurrio Club1–0
R. Union B3–3
Lagun Onak2–0
Durango4–0
Zamudio3–1
Pasaia KE2–0Erandio (A)
Sodupe0–1
Aurrerá Vitoria1–2
Eibar III1–3Pasaia KE2–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Leioa | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +13 | 16 |
| 2 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 16 |
| 3 |  Derio | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  San Ignacio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |  Aretxabaleta | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 |  Touring | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Durango | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Alavés III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 11 |
| 9 |  Beasain | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Sodupe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Pasaia KE | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Eibar III | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Lagun Onak | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Erandio | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 |  Santurtzi | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | R. Union B | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 1 |
Team Insights
Real Sociedad- ●Real Sociedad III have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Real Sociedad III have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●70% of Real Sociedad III's goals conceded were conceded away.
Erandio- ●Erandio have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Erandio have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Erandio have lost their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
Real SociedadAurrerá Vitoria0–2Amurrio Club1–0Eibar III3–2R. Union B3–3Pasaia KE2–3Lagun Onak2–0Deportivo Alavés III25/10Sodupe01/11Erandio08/11ErandioTouring0–1Sodupe0–1Deportivo Alavés III0–2Aurrerá Vitoria1–2Amurrio Club2–0Eibar III1–3Leioa01/11Real Sociedad III08/11San Ignacio15/11Top Scorers
Real SociedadErandioCards Given
Real SociedadErandio