Derio vs R. Union B — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
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Derio and R. Union B meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Derio have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. R. Union B have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Derio and 1.00 for R. Union B. The models give Derio a 51% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an R. Union B win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
DerioR. Union BHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Derio | Home | Away | R. Union | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 57% | 80% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 57% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 14% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 43% | 20% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Derio | Home | Away | R. Union | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 57% | 100% | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 29% | 20% | 63% | 100% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 29% | 0% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 43% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Derio | R. Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 25% |
| BTTS | 50% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Derio | R. Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 63% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 13% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Derio (H)
Lagun Onak2–1
Beasain2–0
Santurtzi2–0
Salamanca UDS3–5
Real Sociedad III0–0
Sestao River0–1R. Union (A)Beasain1–1Santurtzi0–1Real Sociedad III3–3
Erandio1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Leioa | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +13 | 16 |
| 2 |  Aurrerá Vitoria | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 16 |
| 3 | Derio | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  San Ignacio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |  Aretxabaleta | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 |  Touring | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Durango | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Alavés III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 11 |
| 9 | Beasain | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Sodupe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 |  Pasaia KE | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Eibar III | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Lagun Onak | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Erandio | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Santurtzi | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | R. Union B | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 |  Amurrio Club | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 1 |
Team Insights
Derio- ●Derio have won their last 3 home matches.
R. Union- ●R. Union B have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●R. Union B failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●R. Union B have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●62% of R. Union B's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of R. Union B's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●83% of R. Union B's points have been earned away.
- ●R. Union B have scored 75% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
DerioLagun Onak2–1Touring0–2Durango1–1Beasain2–0Aretxabaleta2–1Santurtzi2–0Pasaia KE31/10R. Union B08/11Eibar III15/11R. UnionBeasain1–1Aretxabaleta0–2Santurtzi0–1San Ignacio0–3Real Sociedad III3–3Leioa3–3Durango01/11Derio08/11Lagun Onak15/11Top Scorers
DerioR. UnionCards Given
DerioR. Union