Sodupe vs Real Sociedad III — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
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Sodupe and Real Sociedad III meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Sodupe have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 0.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Real Sociedad III have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Sodupe and 1.16 for Real Sociedad III. The models give Sodupe a 39% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Real Sociedad III win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
SodupeReal Sociedad IIIHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sodupe | Home | Away | Real Sociedad | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 75% | 50% | 71% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 25% | 50% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Sodupe | Home | Away | Real Sociedad | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 57% | 33% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 57% | 33% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sodupe | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 43% |
| BTTS | 25% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 13% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sodupe | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Sodupe (H)
Erandio1–0
Touring1–0
Aurrerá Vitoria0–3
Eibar III1–1
JD Somorrostro1–3
Tolosa1–2Real Sociedad (A)Aurrerá Vitoria0–2Eibar III3–2
Pasaia KE2–3
Derio0–0
Añorga2–1
Aretxabaleta5–2Head to Head · 1 matches
Sodupe| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Leioa | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +13 | 16 |
| 2 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 16 |
| 3 | Derio | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  San Ignacio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 | Aretxabaleta | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Touring | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Durango | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Alavés III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 11 |
| 9 |  Beasain | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Sodupe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Pasaia KE | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Eibar III | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Lagun Onak | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Erandio | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 |  Santurtzi | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  R. Union B | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 |  Amurrio Club | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 1 |
Team Insights
Sodupe- ●Sodupe have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sodupe have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sodupe have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Sodupe's goals conceded were conceded away.
Real Sociedad- ●Real Sociedad III have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Real Sociedad III have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●70% of Real Sociedad III's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
SodupeLeioa0–3Erandio1–0Touring1–0Deportivo Alavés III1–5Aurrerá Vitoria0–3Amurrio Club0–0Real Sociedad III01/11San Ignacio08/11Santurtzi15/11Real SociedadAurrerá Vitoria0–2Amurrio Club1–0Eibar III3–2R. Union B3–3Pasaia KE2–3Lagun Onak2–0Deportivo Alavés III25/10Sodupe01/11Erandio08/11Top Scorers
SodupeReal SociedadCards Given
SodupeReal Sociedad