Erandio vs Leioa — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
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Erandio and Leioa meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Erandio have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Leioa have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 2.10 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Erandio and 1.47 for Leioa. The models give Erandio a 26% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Leioa win at 48%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Erandio
LeioaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Erandio | Home | Away | Leioa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 25% | 75% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 75% | 25% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Erandio | Home | Away | Leioa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Erandio | Leioa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 40% |
| BTTS | 25% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 40% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 50% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Erandio | Leioa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 70% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 10% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Erandio (H)
Touring0–1
Deportivo Alavés III0–2
Amurrio Club2–0
R. Union B0–1Leioa (A)Deportivo Alavés III2–2Amurrio Club5–0R. Union B3–3
Bergantiños0–5
Lagun Onak1–1
Albacete II0–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leioa | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +13 | 16 |
| 2 |  Aurrerá Vitoria | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 16 |
| 3 |  Derio | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  San Ignacio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |  Aretxabaleta | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Touring | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Durango | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Deportivo Alavés III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 11 |
| 9 |  Beasain | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Sodupe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 |  Pasaia KE | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Eibar III | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Lagun Onak | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Erandio | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 |  Santurtzi | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | R. Union B | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 1 |
Team Insights
Erandio- ●Erandio have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Erandio have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Erandio have lost their last 3 away matches.
Leioa- ●Leioa have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Leioa have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Leioa have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Leioa have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leioa have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Leioa have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Leioa have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Leioa have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Leioa have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●75% of Leioa's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Leioa have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
ErandioTouring0–1Sodupe0–1Deportivo Alavés III0–2Aurrerá Vitoria1–2Amurrio Club2–0Eibar III1–3Leioa01/11Real Sociedad III08/11San Ignacio15/11LeioaSodupe3–0Deportivo Alavés III2–2Aurrerá Vitoria4–0Amurrio Club5–0Eibar III2–1R. Union B3–3Erandio01/11Touring08/11Real Sociedad III15/11Top Scorers
ErandioLeioa