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Velarde vs Castro — Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

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Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · Group 3 - 14
Velarde
Velarde
17º · 0.56 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 36d 1h
vs
–
–
Castro
Castro
11º · 0.89 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 36d 0h
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Velarde and Castro meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Velarde have recorded 1 wins from 9 matches this season (11% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Castro have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 1.11 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 33%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.20 for Velarde and 1.24 for Castro. The models give Velarde a 41% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Castro win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 50%.

Season Statistics

Velarde
—
Castro
17º
Position
11º
0.56
PPG
0.89
11%
Win %
22%
0.67
Goals / game
1.11
2.00
Conceded / game
1.44
44%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Clean sheet %
33%
44%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Velarde
Home (4)
—
Castro
Away (4)
0.50
PPG
0.50
0%
Win %
0%
0.25
Goals / game
1.25
1.25
Conceded / game
2.00
25%
BTTS %
75%
50%
Clean sheet %
25%
25%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

VelardeHomeAwayCastroHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored56%25%80%56%40%75%
Over 1.5 Scored11%0%20%44%40%50%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%11%20%0%
Failed To Score44%75%20%44%60%25%

Goals Conceded

VelardeHomeAwayCastroHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded67%50%80%67%60%75%
Over 1.5 Conceded56%25%80%56%40%75%
Over 2.5 Conceded44%25%60%11%0%25%
Clean Sheets33%50%20%33%40%25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

VelardeCastro
Over 0.578%89%
Over 1.556%78%
Over 2.544%44%
Over 3.544%22%
Over 4.533%11%
BTTS44%33%
BTTS & Win0%0%
BTTS & Draw0%11%
BTTS & Over 2.544%33%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%11%

1st Half / 2nd Half

VelardeCastro
Win 1st Half0%22%
Draw 1st Half56%33%
Loss 1st Half44%44%
Scored 1st Half33%22%
Conceded 1st Half44%44%
Win 2nd Half11%22%
Draw 2nd Half44%33%
Loss 2nd Half44%44%
Scored 2nd Half33%44%
Conceded 2nd Half56%56%
Over 0.5 HT44%67%
Over 1.5 HT44%33%

Recent Venue Form

Velarde (H)
DTorina0–0
LCayón0–1
LVimenor1–4
DNaval Reinosa0–0
LVimenor0–3
LSiete Villas0–2
Castro (A)
LNaval Reinosa1–2
LAtlético Albericia2–4
DRevilla2–2
DSelaya0–0
DCartes0–0
LRevilla1–2

Head to Head · 2 matches

1
Velarde
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Castro
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
23/03/24
Velarde
1–0
Castro
05/11/23
Castro
2–1
Velarde
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Tropezón9720+1423
2Bezana9621+920
3Cayón9621+920
4Laredo9603+1118
5Revilla9531+818
6Vimenor9522+617
7Sámano9441+1016
8Torina9360+715
9Atlético Mineros9315-710
10Solares9234-59
11Castro9225-38
12Guarnizo9225-58
13Barquereño9225-98
14Atlético Albericia9144-47
15Escobedo9144-87
16Selaya9216-87
17Velarde9126-125
18Naval Reinosa9126-135

Team Insights

Velarde
  • ●Velarde have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
  • ●Velarde have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Velarde have lost their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Velarde have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Velarde failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Velarde have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●72% of Velarde's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Velarde have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
Castro
  • ●Castro have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Castro have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●75% of Castro's points have been earned at home.
VelardeVelarde
LABezana2º1–4
DHTorina8º0–0
LAAtlético Mineros9º2–4
LASámano7º0–2
LHCayón3º0–1
LAGuarnizo12º1–3
LHVimenor6º1–4
WABarquereño13º1–0
DHNaval Reinosa18º0–0
LHVimenor5º0–3
CastroCastro
LHBarquereño13º0–1
LANaval Reinosa18º1–2
WHEscobedo15º3–0
LAAtlético Albericia14º2–4
LHTropezón1º0–2
LHAtlético Mineros9º0–2
DARevilla5º2–2
WHSolares10º2–0
DASelaya16º0–0
LHTropezón3º0–2

Season Schedule

Velarde
LABezana1–4
DHTorina0–0
LAAtlético Mineros2–4
LASámano0–2
LHCayón0–1
LAGuarnizo1–3
–HLaredo07/11
–ASelaya15/11
–HSolares22/11
Castro
LHBarquereño0–1
LANaval Reinosa1–2
WHEscobedo3–0
LAAtlético Albericia2–4
LHTropezón0–2
LHAtlético Mineros0–2
–AVimenor08/11
–HGuarnizo15/11
–ACayón22/11

Top Scorers

Velarde
A. Pelayo1 ⚽
C. Macias1 ⚽
M. Diego1 ⚽
R. Lavin1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Castro
A. Hernando3 ⚽
A. Santamarina1 ⚽
J. Bweya1 ⚽
U. Montes1 ⚽
X. Jauregui1 ⚽

Cards Given

Velarde
S. Ojembarrena1 🟨
Toki1 🟨
Castro
A. Hernando1 🟨