Sámano vs Tropezón — Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
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Sámano and Tropezón meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Sámano have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 2.11 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 78% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Tropezón have won 78% of their 9 matches, with 2.11 goals scored and 0.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 56%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Sámano and 1.43 for Tropezón. The models give Sámano a 33% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Tropezón win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Sámano—
Tropezón7º
Position
1º
1.78
PPG
2.56
44%
Win %
78%
2.11
Goals / game
2.11
1.00
Conceded / game
0.56
78%
BTTS %
44%
22%
Clean sheet %
56%
56%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Sámano
Home (4)
—
Tropezón
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
2.50
50%
Win %
75%
2.25
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
75%
BTTS %
75%
25%
Clean sheet %
25%
50%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Sámano | Home | Away | Tropezón | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 89% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 75% | 40% | 89% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 25% | 40% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Sámano | Home | Away | Tropezón | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 75% | 80% | 44% | 20% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 25% | 20% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 25% | 20% | 56% | 80% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sámano | Tropezón | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS | 78% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 44% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sámano | Tropezón | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 78% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 78% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 0% | 22% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 11% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 78% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 78% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Sámano (H)D
Bezana1–1
Bezana1–1W
Velarde2–0
Velarde2–0W
Guarnizo4–1
Guarnizo4–1D
Barquereño2–2
Barquereño2–2L
Bergantiños0–5
Bergantiños0–5L
Numancia0–3
Numancia0–3Tropezón (A)D
Escobedo2–2
Escobedo2–2W
Castro2–0
Castro2–0W
Solares2–1
Solares2–1W
Laredo2–1
Laredo2–1L
Arnedo0–1
Arnedo0–1WLaredo1–0
Laredo1–0Head to Head · 8 matches
2
Sámano
25%
3
Draws
38%
3
Tropezón
38%
88%
Over 1.5
7/8
50%
Over 2.5
4/8
38%
Over 3.5
3/8
50%
BTTS
4/8
16/03/25Sámano
Tropezón
0–0Sámano02/11/24Tropezón
Sámano
3–1Tropezón03/02/24Tropezón
Sámano
0–2Tropezón15/09/23Sámano
Tropezón
1–1Sámano26/02/23Tropezón
Sámano
1–1Tropezón23/10/22Sámano
Tropezón
4–0Sámano02/02/20Sámano
Tropezón
3–0Sámano11/09/19Tropezón
Sámano
3–1Tropezón| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tropezón | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | Bezana | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 3 |  Cayón | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 4 | Laredo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Revilla | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 6 |  Vimenor | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 | Sámano | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 16 |
| 8 |  Torina | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 9 |  Atlético Mineros | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 10 | Solares | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 | Castro | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Guarnizo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Barquereño | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 14 |  Atlético Albericia | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Escobedo | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Selaya | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Velarde | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 18 |  Naval Reinosa | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 5 |
Team Insights
Sámano- ●Sámano have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Sámano have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Sámano have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sámano have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sámano have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sámano have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Sámano failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Sámano have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Tropezón- ●Tropezón have been undefeated in their last 9 matches.
- ●Tropezón have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tropezón have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Tropezón have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tropezón have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tropezón have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tropezón have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Season Schedule
SámanoWALaredo3–1
Laredo3–1DHBezana1–1
Bezana1–1DATorina1–1
Torina1–1WHVelarde2–0
Velarde2–0WAAtlético Mineros4–0
Atlético Mineros4–0DACayón1–1
Cayón1–1–HSelaya08/11
Selaya08/11–ASolares15/11
Solares15/11–HRevilla22/11
Revilla22/11TropezónWHNaval Reinosa4–0
Naval Reinosa4–0DAEscobedo2–2
Escobedo2–2DHAtlético Albericia0–0
Atlético Albericia0–0WHAtlético Mineros2–1
Atlético Mineros2–1WACastro2–0
Castro2–0WHRevilla2–0
Revilla2–0–ABarquereño08/11
Barquereño08/11–HVimenor15/11
Vimenor15/11–AGuarnizo22/11
Guarnizo22/11Top Scorers
SámanoO. Helguera6 ⚽
I. Ortiz4 ⚽
S. Katir3 ⚽
I. Lopez2 ⚽
I. Arribalzaga Gallego1 ⚽
J. Quintela1 ⚽
TropezónJ. Casar4 ⚽
4 ⚽
A. Raba3 ⚽
J. Madrono2 ⚽
P. Gallego2 ⚽
D. Bolado2 ⚽
Cards Given
SámanoA. Abad2 🟨
Tropezón