Tropezón vs Cayón — Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
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Tropezón and Cayón meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Tropezón have recorded 7 wins from 9 matches this season (78% win rate), averaging 2.11 goals scored and 0.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 56% of games. Cayón have won 67% of their 9 matches, with 1.22 goals scored and 0.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 11%, Over 2.5 at 11%, and clean sheets at 78%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.21 for Tropezón and 1.06 for Cayón. The models give Tropezón a 45% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Cayón win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Tropezón—
Cayón1º
Position
3º
2.56
PPG
2.22
78%
Win %
67%
2.11
Goals / game
1.22
0.56
Conceded / game
0.22
44%
BTTS %
11%
56%
Clean sheet %
78%
67%
Over 2.5 %
11%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tropezón
Home (5)
—
Cayón
Away (5)
2.60
PPG
3.00
80%
Win %
100%
2.20
Goals / game
1.80
0.20
Conceded / game
0.00
20%
BTTS %
0%
80%
Clean sheet %
100%
60%
Over 2.5 %
20%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tropezón | Home | Away | Cayón | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 80% | 100% | 78% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 89% | 80% | 100% | 33% | 0% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 40% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 20% | 0% | 22% | 50% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Tropezón | Home | Away | Cayón | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 44% | 20% | 75% | 22% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 56% | 80% | 25% | 78% | 50% | 100% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tropezón | Cayón | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 11% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 44% | 11% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 0% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tropezón | Cayón | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 11% |
| Win 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 78% | 78% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 11% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
Tropezón (H)W
Naval Reinosa4–0
Naval Reinosa4–0D
Atlético Albericia0–0
Atlético Albericia0–0W
Atlético Mineros2–1
Atlético Mineros2–1W
Revilla2–0
Revilla2–0W
Selaya3–0
Selaya3–0W
Arnedo1–0
Arnedo1–0Cayón (A)WSelaya3–0
Selaya3–0W
Bezana2–0
Bezana2–0W
Velarde1–0
Velarde1–0WAtlético Mineros2–0
Atlético Mineros2–0W
Guarnizo1–0
Guarnizo1–0LTropezón1–3
Tropezón1–3Head to Head · 12 matches
3
Tropezón
25%
4
Draws
33%
5
Cayón
42%
83%
Over 1.5
10/12
42%
Over 2.5
5/12
33%
Over 3.5
4/12
75%
BTTS
9/12
03/05/26Cayón
Tropezón
3–1Cayón04/01/26Tropezón
Cayón
3–1Tropezón07/06/25Cayón
Tropezón
1–2Cayón31/05/25Tropezón
Cayón
1–1Tropezón16/02/25Cayón
Tropezón
0–1Cayón06/10/24Tropezón
Cayón
0–1Tropezón09/04/23Tropezón
Cayón
2–0Tropezón10/12/22Cayón
Tropezón
1–1Cayón01/05/22Tropezón
Cayón
4–3Tropezón12/12/21Cayón
Tropezón
1–1Cayón16/05/21Tropezón
Cayón
1–3Tropezón24/04/21Cayón
Tropezón
1–1Cayón| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tropezón | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | Bezana | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 3 | Cayón | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 4 |  Laredo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 | Revilla | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 6 |  Vimenor | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sámano | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 16 |
| 8 |  Torina | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 9 | Atlético Mineros | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 10 |  Solares | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 |  Castro | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Guarnizo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |  Barquereño | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 14 | Atlético Albericia | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Escobedo | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Selaya | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Velarde | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 18 | Naval Reinosa | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 5 |
Team Insights
Tropezón- ●Tropezón have been undefeated in their last 9 matches.
- ●Tropezón have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tropezón have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Tropezón have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tropezón have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tropezón have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tropezón have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Cayón- ●Cayón have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Cayón have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Cayón have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cayón have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Cayón have won their last 5 away matches.
- ●Cayón have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Cayón have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Cayón have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Cayón have won 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Cayón have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●82% of Cayón's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Cayón's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
TropezónWHNaval Reinosa4–0
Naval Reinosa4–0DAEscobedo2–2
Escobedo2–2DHAtlético Albericia0–0
Atlético Albericia0–0WHAtlético Mineros2–1
Atlético Mineros2–1WACastro2–0
Castro2–0WHRevilla2–0
Revilla2–0–ABarquereño08/11
Barquereño08/11–HVimenor15/11
Vimenor15/11–AGuarnizo22/11
Guarnizo22/11CayónWASelaya3–0
Selaya3–0WHLaredo1–0
Laredo1–0WABezana2–0
Bezana2–0DHTorina0–0
Torina0–0WAVelarde1–0
Velarde1–0DHSámano1–1
Sámano1–1–HSolares08/11
Solares08/11–ARevilla15/11
Revilla15/11–HCastro22/11
Castro22/11Top Scorers
TropezónJ. Casar4 ⚽
4 ⚽
A. Raba3 ⚽
J. Madrono2 ⚽
P. Gallego2 ⚽
D. Bolado2 ⚽
CayónF. Cobo3 ⚽
Miguelin3 ⚽
C. Cagigas1 ⚽
L. V. Lemes1 ⚽
M. Vergara1 ⚽
J. Lopez1 ⚽