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Castro vs Sámano — Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

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Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · Group 3 - 13
Castro
Castro
11º · 0.89 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 29d 0h
vs
–
–
Sámano
Sámano
7º · 1.78 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 6h
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Castro and Sámano meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Castro have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.11 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Sámano have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 2.11 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 22%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.29 for Castro and 1.37 for Sámano. The models give Castro a 31% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Sámano win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.

Season Statistics

Castro
—
Sámano
11º
Position
7º
0.89
PPG
1.78
22%
Win %
44%
1.11
Goals / game
2.11
1.44
Conceded / game
1.00
33%
BTTS %
78%
33%
Clean sheet %
22%
44%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Castro
Home (5)
—
Sámano
Away (5)
1.20
PPG
1.60
40%
Win %
40%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
0%
BTTS %
80%
40%
Clean sheet %
20%
20%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

CastroHomeAwaySámanoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored56%40%75%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Scored44%40%50%56%75%40%
Over 2.5 Scored11%20%0%33%25%40%
Failed To Score44%60%25%0%0%0%

Goals Conceded

CastroHomeAwaySámanoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded67%60%75%78%75%80%
Over 1.5 Conceded56%40%75%22%25%20%
Over 2.5 Conceded11%0%25%0%0%0%
Clean Sheets33%40%25%22%25%20%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

CastroSámano
Over 0.589%100%
Over 1.578%100%
Over 2.544%56%
Over 3.522%44%
Over 4.511%11%
BTTS33%78%
BTTS & Win0%22%
BTTS & Draw11%44%
BTTS & Over 2.533%44%
BTTS No & Over 2.511%11%

1st Half / 2nd Half

CastroSámano
Win 1st Half22%78%
Draw 1st Half33%22%
Loss 1st Half44%0%
Scored 1st Half22%78%
Conceded 1st Half44%0%
Win 2nd Half22%44%
Draw 2nd Half33%11%
Loss 2nd Half44%44%
Scored 2nd Half44%67%
Conceded 2nd Half56%78%
Over 0.5 HT67%78%
Over 1.5 HT33%0%

Recent Venue Form

Castro (H)
LBarquereño0–1
WEscobedo3–0
LTropezón0–2
LAtlético Mineros0–2
WSolares2–0
LTropezón0–2
Sámano (A)
WLaredo3–1
DTorina1–1
WAtlético Mineros4–0
DCayón1–1
LVimenor1–2
LMarino de Luanco1–4

Head to Head · 9 matches

3
Castro
33%
4
Draws
44%
2
Sámano
22%
33%
Over 1.5
3/9
11%
Over 2.5
1/9
11%
Over 3.5
1/9
22%
BTTS
2/9
14/08/25
Sámano
1–0
Castro
27/04/25
Castro
0–0
Sámano
14/12/24
Sámano
0–2
Castro
17/03/24
Castro
1–0
Sámano
29/10/23
Sámano
0–1
Castro
11/02/23
Sámano
2–2
Castro
09/10/22
Castro
0–0
Sámano
15/01/22
Castro
0–1
Sámano
18/09/21
Sámano
1–1
Castro
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Tropezón9720+1423
2Bezana9621+920
3Cayón9621+920
4Laredo9603+1118
5Revilla9531+818
6Vimenor9522+617
7Sámano9441+1016
8Torina9360+715
9Atlético Mineros9315-710
10Solares9234-59
11Castro9225-38
12Guarnizo9225-58
13Barquereño9225-98
14Atlético Albericia9144-47
15Escobedo9144-87
16Selaya9216-87
17Velarde9126-125
18Naval Reinosa9126-135

Team Insights

Castro
  • ●Castro have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Castro have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●75% of Castro's points have been earned at home.
Sámano
  • ●Sámano have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
  • ●Sámano have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
  • ●Sámano have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Sámano have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Sámano have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Sámano have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Sámano failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Sámano have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
CastroCastro
LHBarquereño13º0–1
LANaval Reinosa18º1–2
WHEscobedo15º3–0
LAAtlético Albericia14º2–4
LHTropezón1º0–2
LHAtlético Mineros9º0–2
DARevilla5º2–2
WHSolares10º2–0
DASelaya16º0–0
LHTropezón3º0–2
SámanoSámano
WALaredo4º3–1
DHBezana2º1–1
DATorina8º1–1
WHVelarde17º2–0
WAAtlético Mineros9º4–0
DACayón3º1–1
WHGuarnizo12º4–1
LAVimenor6º1–2
DHBarquereño13º2–2
LHBergantiños10º0–5

Season Schedule

Castro
LHBarquereño0–1
LANaval Reinosa1–2
WHEscobedo3–0
LAAtlético Albericia2–4
LHTropezón0–2
LHAtlético Mineros0–2
–AVimenor08/11
–HGuarnizo15/11
–ACayón22/11
Sámano
WALaredo3–1
DHBezana1–1
DATorina1–1
WHVelarde2–0
WAAtlético Mineros4–0
DACayón1–1
–HSelaya08/11
–ASolares15/11
–HRevilla22/11

Top Scorers

Castro
A. Hernando3 ⚽
A. Santamarina1 ⚽
J. Bweya1 ⚽
U. Montes1 ⚽
X. Jauregui1 ⚽
Sámano
O. Helguera6 ⚽
I. Ortiz4 ⚽
S. Katir3 ⚽
I. Lopez2 ⚽
I. Arribalzaga Gallego1 ⚽
J. Quintela1 ⚽

Cards Given

Castro
A. Hernando1 🟨
Sámano
A. Abad2 🟨