MatchPulse

Cayón vs Castro — Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

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Cayón
Cayón
3º · 2.22 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 22d 22h
vs
–
–
Castro
Castro
11º · 0.89 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 22d 0h
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Cayón and Castro meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Cayón have recorded 6 wins from 9 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 1.22 goals scored and 0.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 11% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 11%; and clean sheets in 78% of games. Castro have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 1.11 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 33%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for Cayón and 1.05 for Castro. The models give Cayón a 53% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Castro win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 49%.

Season Statistics

Cayón
—
Castro
3º
Position
11º
2.22
PPG
0.89
67%
Win %
22%
1.22
Goals / game
1.11
0.22
Conceded / game
1.44
11%
BTTS %
33%
78%
Clean sheet %
33%
11%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Cayón
Home (4)
—
Castro
Away (4)
1.25
PPG
0.50
25%
Win %
0%
0.50
Goals / game
1.25
0.50
Conceded / game
2.00
25%
BTTS %
75%
50%
Clean sheet %
25%
0%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

CayónHomeAwayCastroHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored78%50%100%56%40%75%
Over 1.5 Scored33%0%60%44%40%50%
Over 2.5 Scored11%0%20%11%20%0%
Failed To Score22%50%0%44%60%25%

Goals Conceded

CayónHomeAwayCastroHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded22%50%0%67%60%75%
Over 1.5 Conceded0%0%0%56%40%75%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%11%0%25%
Clean Sheets78%50%100%33%40%25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

CayónCastro
Over 0.589%89%
Over 1.544%78%
Over 2.511%44%
Over 3.50%22%
Over 4.50%11%
BTTS11%33%
BTTS & Win0%0%
BTTS & Draw11%11%
BTTS & Over 2.50%33%
BTTS No & Over 2.511%11%

1st Half / 2nd Half

CayónCastro
Win 1st Half33%22%
Draw 1st Half56%33%
Loss 1st Half11%44%
Scored 1st Half33%22%
Conceded 1st Half11%44%
Win 2nd Half67%22%
Draw 2nd Half33%33%
Loss 2nd Half0%44%
Scored 2nd Half78%44%
Conceded 2nd Half11%56%
Over 0.5 HT44%67%
Over 1.5 HT0%33%

Recent Venue Form

Cayón (H)
WLaredo1–0
DTorina0–0
DSámano1–1
LVimenor0–1
WVimenor3–1
WCartes3–2
Castro (A)
LNaval Reinosa1–2
LAtlético Albericia2–4
DRevilla2–2
DSelaya0–0
DCartes0–0
LRevilla1–2

Head to Head · 6 matches

2
Cayón
33%
3
Draws
50%
1
Castro
17%
67%
Over 1.5
4/6
17%
Over 2.5
1/6
17%
Over 3.5
1/6
33%
BTTS
2/6
08/02/26
Castro
2–0
Cayón
27/09/25
Cayón
1–1
Castro
30/03/25
Castro
0–0
Cayón
17/11/24
Cayón
1–0
Castro
26/03/23
Cayón
2–0
Castro
26/11/22
Castro
2–2
Cayón
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Tropezón9720+1423
2Bezana9621+920
3Cayón9621+920
4Laredo9603+1118
5Revilla9531+818
6Vimenor9522+617
7Sámano9441+1016
8Torina9360+715
9Atlético Mineros9315-710
10Solares9234-59
11Castro9225-38
12Guarnizo9225-58
13Barquereño9225-98
14Atlético Albericia9144-47
15Escobedo9144-87
16Selaya9216-87
17Velarde9126-125
18Naval Reinosa9126-135

Team Insights

Cayón
  • ●Cayón have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Cayón have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Cayón have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Cayón have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Cayón have won their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Cayón have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Cayón have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Cayón have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Cayón have won 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Cayón have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●82% of Cayón's goals have been scored away.
  • ●75% of Cayón's points have been earned away.
Castro
  • ●Castro have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Castro have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●75% of Castro's points have been earned at home.
WASelaya16º3–0
WHLaredo4º1–0
WABezana2º2–0
DHTorina8º0–0
WAVelarde17º1–0
DHSámano7º1–1
WAGuarnizo12º1–0
LHVimenor6º0–1
WHVimenor6º3–1
LHBarquereño13º0–1
LANaval Reinosa18º1–2
WHEscobedo15º3–0
LHTropezón1º0–2
DARevilla5º2–2
WHSolares10º2–0
DASelaya16º0–0
LHTropezón3º0–2

Season Schedule

Cayón
WASelaya3–0
WHLaredo1–0
WABezana2–0
DHTorina0–0
WAVelarde1–0
DHSámano1–1
–HSolares08/11
–ARevilla15/11
–HCastro22/11
Castro
LHBarquereño0–1
LANaval Reinosa1–2
WHEscobedo3–0
LAAtlético Albericia2–4
LHTropezón0–2
LHAtlético Mineros0–2
–AVimenor08/11
–HGuarnizo15/11
–ACayón22/11

Top Scorers

Cayón
F. Cobo3 ⚽
Miguelin3 ⚽
C. Cagigas1 ⚽
L. V. Lemes1 ⚽
M. Vergara1 ⚽
J. Lopez1 ⚽
Castro
A. Hernando3 ⚽
A. Santamarina1 ⚽
J. Bweya1 ⚽
U. Montes1 ⚽
X. Jauregui1 ⚽

Cards Given

Cayón
Castro
A. Hernando1 🟨