Selaya vs Velarde — Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
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Selaya and Velarde meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Selaya have recorded 2 wins from 7 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 0.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Velarde have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 0.71 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Selaya and 1.15 for Velarde. The models give Selaya a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Velarde win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Selaya
VelardeHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Selaya | Home | Away | Velarde | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 75% | 33% | 57% | 33% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 25% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 25% | 67% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Selaya | Home | Away | Velarde | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 50% | 100% | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 50% | 67% | 57% | 33% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 33% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 50% | 0% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Selaya | Velarde | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 29% |
| BTTS | 43% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Selaya | Velarde | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 57% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 29% | 29% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Selaya (H)
Vimenor1–2
Naval Reinosa3–2
Atlético Albericia1–0
Castro0–0
Laredo1–1
Torina2–0Velarde (A)
Atlético Mineros2–4
Sámano0–2
Guarnizo1–3
Barquereño1–0Torina0–0Atlético Mineros3–4| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tropezón | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 19 |
| 2 | Laredo | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +14 | 18 |
| 3 |  Bezana | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 4 |  Revilla | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 5 |  Cayón | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Sámano | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 12 |
| 8 | Torina | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +6 | 11 |
| 9 | Atlético Mineros | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Castro | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Selaya | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 |  Solares | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Atlético Albericia | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Guarnizo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 |  Escobedo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 | Barquereño | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 | Velarde | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Naval Reinosa | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 2 |
Team Insights
Selaya- ●Selaya have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●100% of Selaya's points have been earned at home.
Velarde- ●Velarde have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Velarde have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Velarde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Velarde have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Velarde have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Velarde have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
SelayaVimenor1–2Barquereño0–1Naval Reinosa3–2Escobedo1–2Atlético Albericia1–0Tropezón0–3Guarnizo25/10Cayón30/10Sámano08/11VelardeAtlético Mineros2–4Sámano0–2Cayón0–1Guarnizo1–3Vimenor1–4Barquereño1–0Torina25/10Bezana31/10Laredo08/11Top Scorers
SelayaVelardeCards Given
SelayaVelarde