Castro vs Barquereño — Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
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Castro and Barquereño meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Castro have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Barquereño have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 0.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Castro and 1.14 for Barquereño. The models give Castro a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Barquereño win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
CastroBarquereñoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Castro | Home | Away | Barquereño | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Castro | Home | Away | Barquereño | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 50% | 75% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 50% | 75% | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 50% | 25% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Castro | Barquereño | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 38% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Castro | Barquereño | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 63% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 88% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Castro (H)
Escobedo3–0
Tropezón0–2
Atlético Mineros0–2
Solares2–0Tropezón0–2
Gimnástica Torrelavega2–3Barquereño (A)Solares2–2
Laredo0–3
Torina0–3
Sámano2–2
Revilla1–1
Colindres0–3Head to Head · 6 matches
BarquereñoCastroBarquereñoCastroBarquereñoCastro| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tropezón | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +10 | 20 |
| 2 | Laredo | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 | Revilla | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 4 |  Bezana | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  Cayón | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  Vimenor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 | Sámano | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 8 | Torina | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 9 | Atlético Mineros | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Castro | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Guarnizo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Selaya | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 |  Atlético Albericia | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Solares | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Escobedo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 16 |  Naval Reinosa | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 17 |  Velarde | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 | Barquereño | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
Castro- ●Castro have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Castro have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of Castro's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Castro's points have been earned at home.
Barquereño- ●Barquereño have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
CastroNaval Reinosa1–2Escobedo3–0Atlético Albericia2–4Tropezón0–2Atlético Mineros0–2Revilla2–2Barquereño31/10Vimenor08/11Guarnizo15/11BarquereñoRevilla1–3Solares2–2Selaya1–0Laredo0–3Bezana0–2Torina0–3Castro31/10Tropezón08/11Atlético Albericia15/11Top Scorers
CastroBarquereñoCards Given
CastroBarquereño