Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 11

Lealtad

9º · 1.57 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 28d 7h

–

Mosconia

4º · 1.71 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 28d 6h

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Lealtad and Mosconia meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Lealtad have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 0.86 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 29% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 14%; and clean sheets in 57% of games. Mosconia have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 1.25 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 25%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 50%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for Lealtad and 1.12 for Mosconia. The models give Lealtad a 40% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Mosconia win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 49%.

Season Statistics

Lealtad

—

Mosconia

9º

Position

4º

1.57

PPG

1.71

43%

Win %

43%

0.86

Goals / game

1.43

0.57

Conceded / game

1.00

29%

BTTS %

25%

57%

Clean sheet %

50%

14%

Over 2.5 %

38%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Lealtad

Home (4)

—

Mosconia

Away (4)

1.25

PPG

1.25

25%

Win %

25%

1.00

Goals / game

1.25

0.75

Conceded / game

1.25

50%

BTTS %

25%

50%

Clean sheet %

50%

25%

Over 2.5 %

50%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Lealtad	Home	Away	Mosconia	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	71%	75%	67%	50%	75%	25%
Over 1.5 Scored	14%	25%	0%	38%	50%	25%
Over 2.5 Scored	0%	0%	0%	13%	0%	25%
Failed To Score	29%	25%	33%	50%	25%	75%

Goals Conceded

	Lealtad	Home	Away	Mosconia	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	43%	50%	33%	50%	50%	50%
Over 1.5 Conceded	14%	25%	0%	38%	50%	25%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	13%	0%	25%
Clean Sheets	57%	50%	67%	50%	50%	50%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Lealtad	Mosconia
Over 0.5	86%	75%
Over 1.5	43%	63%
Over 2.5	14%	38%
Over 3.5	0%	38%
Over 4.5	0%	13%
BTTS	29%	25%
BTTS & Win	0%	13%
BTTS & Draw	14%	13%
BTTS & Over 2.5	14%	25%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Lealtad	Mosconia
Win 1st Half	43%	38%
Draw 1st Half	43%	38%
Loss 1st Half	14%	25%
Scored 1st Half	43%	38%
Conceded 1st Half	14%	25%
Win 2nd Half	43%	25%
Draw 2nd Half	29%	50%
Loss 2nd Half	29%	25%
Scored 2nd Half	43%	25%
Conceded 2nd Half	29%	38%
Over 0.5 HT	57%	63%
Over 1.5 HT	14%	38%

Recent Venue Form

Lealtad (H)

Caudal0–0

Avilés Stadium2–0

Llanes1–1

Praviano1–2

Coruxo2–2

Real Valladolid II2–3

Mosconia (A)

Covadonga0–4

Astur0–0

Condal0–0

Llanes5–1

Covadonga1–2

Navarro1–3

Head to Head · 7 matches

Lealtad

29%

Draws

57%

Mosconia

14%

43%

Over 1.5

3/7

14%

Over 2.5

1/7

14%

Over 3.5

1/7

43%

BTTS

3/7

04/05/25

Mosconia

0–1

Lealtad

21/12/24

Lealtad

1–0

Mosconia

23/01/22

Lealtad

1–1

Mosconia

19/09/21

Mosconia

1–0

Lealtad

04/08/21

Lealtad

1–1

Mosconia

01/03/20

Mosconia

2–2

Lealtad

13/10/19

Lealtad

0–0

Mosconia

Tercera División RFEF - Group 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sporting Gijón II	8	6	2	0	+10	20
2	Covadonga	7	5	1	1	+12	16
3	Condal	7	4	3	0	+8	15
4	Mosconia	7	3	3	1	+3	12
5	Siero	8	4	0	4	+2	12
6	Caudal	7	3	3	1	+2	12
7	Praviano	7	3	2	2	+5	11
8	Gijón Industrial	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Lealtad	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Colunga	7	3	2	2	-2	11
11	Langreo	8	2	3	3	-2	9
12	San Martín	7	2	3	2	-3	9
13	Avilés Stadium	7	2	1	4	-6	7
14	L'Entregu	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	Ceares	7	1	1	5	-5	4
16	Astur	7	0	4	3	-5	4
17	Llanes	8	0	4	4	-8	4
18	Andes	7	0	2	5	-9	2