Estradense vs Celta de Vigo III — Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
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Estradense and Celta de Vigo III meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Estradense have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 2.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 78% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Celta de Vigo III have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 86%, Over 2.5 at 86%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Estradense and 1.51 for Celta de Vigo III. The models give Estradense a 47% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Celta de Vigo III win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
EstradenseCelta de Vigo IIIHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Estradense | Home | Away | Celta de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 80% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 60% | 25% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 60% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Estradense | Home | Away | Celta de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 80% | 50% | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 40% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Estradense | Celta de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 25% |
| BTTS | 78% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 44% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 75% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Estradense | Celta de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 13% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 63% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 78% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Estradense (H)
Viveiro3–2
Boiro3–2
Coruña3–1
Sarriana1–3
Pontevedra0–5
Atlético Arteixo0–1Celta de (A)Boiro0–1Coruña1–3Sarriana2–3
Pontevedra II2–1
Noia5–1
Barbadás4–0Head to Head · 8 matches
EstradenseCelta de Vigo IIICelta de Vigo IIIEstradenseEstradenseCelta de Vigo IIICelta de Vigo IIIEstradense| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boiro | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 2 | Sarriana | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 3 |  Lalin | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 4 |  Barco | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 5 |  Antela | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Portonovo SD | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 7 |  Silva | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Villalbés | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Alondras | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Celtiga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Estradense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Atlético Arteixo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Coruña | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Pontevedra II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 15 |  Somozas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo III | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Viveiro | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |  Arenteiro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 4 |
Team Insights
Estradense- ●Estradense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Estradense have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Estradense have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●71% of Estradense's goals have been scored at home.
Celta de- ●Celta de Vigo III have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Celta de Vigo III have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Celta de Vigo III failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Celta de Vigo III have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Celta de Vigo III have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
EstradenseViveiro3–2Silva1–2Villalbés2–1Boiro3–2Celtiga0–2Coruña3–1Alondras01/11Celta de Vigo III08/11Somozas15/11Celta deBoiro0–1Celtiga1–2Coruña1–3Atlético Arteixo3–2Sarriana2–3Antela0–0Villalbés01/11Estradense08/11Viveiro15/11Top Scorers
EstradenseCelta deCards Given
EstradenseCelta de