Independiente Res. vs Defensa y Justicia Res. — Reserve League
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Independiente Res. and Defensa y Justicia Res. meet in the Reserve League 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Independiente Res. have recorded 21 wins from 33 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 2.06 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Defensa y Justicia Res. have won 38% of their 32 matches, with 1.81 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.99 for Independiente Res. and 1.22 for Defensa y Justicia Res.. The models give Independiente Res. a 59% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Defensa y Justicia Res. win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Independiente Res. | Home | Away | Defensa y | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 75% | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 59% | 56% | 44% | 56% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 35% | 13% | 22% | 19% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 0% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Independiente Res. | Home | Away | Defensa y | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 53% | 69% | 81% | 75% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 24% | 19% | 38% | 19% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 6% | 6% | 13% | 6% | 19% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 47% | 31% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Independiente Res. | Defensa y | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 22% |
| BTTS | 52% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Independiente Res. | Defensa y | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 34% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 58% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 76% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 5 matches
Team Insights
- ●Independiente Res. have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Independiente Res. have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Independiente Res. have scored in each of their last 17 home matches.
- ●Independiente Res. have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Independiente Res. have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Independiente Res. have scored in 17 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Independiente Res. have won 9 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Independiente Res. have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●63% of Independiente Res.'s goals have been scored at home.
- ●Defensa y Justicia Res. have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Defensa y Justicia Res. have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Defensa y Justicia Res. have scored in each of their last 16 home matches.
- ●Defensa y Justicia Res. failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Defensa y Justicia Res. have scored in 16 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Defensa y Justicia Res. failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Defensa y Justicia Res. have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.