Casertana vs Potenza — Serie C - Girone C
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Casertana and Potenza meet in the Serie C - Girone C 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Casertana have recorded 4 wins from 13 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.31 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Potenza have won 63% of their 16 matches, with 2.25 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 81%, Over 2.5 at 81%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Casertana and 1.55 for Potenza. The models give Casertana a 39% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Potenza win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Casertana—
Potenza10º
Position
1º
1.42
PPG
2.42
33%
Win %
75%
1.33
Goals / game
2.67
1.25
Conceded / game
1.42
62%
BTTS %
81%
23%
Clean sheet %
13%
54%
Over 2.5 %
81%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Casertana
Home (6)
—
Potenza
Away (6)
1.50
PPG
1.83
33%
Win %
50%
1.83
Goals / game
2.17
1.50
Conceded / game
1.50
86%
BTTS %
86%
14%
Clean sheet %
14%
71%
Over 2.5 %
86%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Casertana | Home | Away | Potenza | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 100% | 33% | 88% | 89% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 43% | 33% | 69% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 29% | 17% | 38% | 44% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 0% | 67% | 13% | 11% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Casertana | Home | Away | Potenza | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 86% | 67% | 88% | 89% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 57% | 33% | 44% | 44% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 14% | 0% | 19% | 11% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 14% | 33% | 13% | 11% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Casertana | Potenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 38% |
| BTTS | 62% | 81% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 56% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 75% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Casertana | Potenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 54% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Casertana (H)D
Bari1–1
Bari1–1W
SS Monopoli3–1
SS Monopoli3–1L
Catania1–2
Catania1–2W
Team Altamura1–0
Team Altamura1–0D
Scafatese2–2
Scafatese2–2D
Barletta3–3
Barletta3–3Potenza (A)DTeam Altamura2–2
Team Altamura2–2W
Foggia3–1
Foggia3–1WBarletta4–1
Barletta4–1DBari0–0
Bari0–0L
Salernitana2–4
Salernitana2–4W
Cosenza2–1
Cosenza2–1Head to Head · 12 matches
2
Casertana
17%
6
Draws
50%
4
Potenza
33%
42%
Over 1.5
5/12
25%
Over 2.5
3/12
17%
Over 3.5
2/12
33%
BTTS
4/12
18/01/26Casertana
Potenza
2–0Casertana06/09/25Potenza
Casertana
3–2Potenza13/04/25Casertana
Potenza
2–1Casertana01/12/24Potenza
Casertana
0–0Potenza03/02/24Potenza
Casertana
0–0Potenza24/09/23Casertana
Potenza
1–1Casertana03/02/21Potenza
Casertana
1–0Potenza07/10/20Casertana
Potenza
2–2Casertana22/01/20Potenza
Casertana
0–0Potenza25/08/19Casertana
Potenza
1–0Casertana28/04/19Potenza
Casertana
0–0Potenza23/12/18Casertana
Potenza
1–0Casertana| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 29 |
| 2 | Bari | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Audace Cerignola | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +8 | 20 |
| 4 |  Sorrento | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 5 | Catania | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +11 | 19 |
| 6 | SS Monopoli | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 |  AZ Picerno | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 | Scafatese | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 |  Inter U23 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 | Casertana | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Cavese | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Salernitana | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Foggia | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 14 |  Casarano | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | Team Altamura | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 |  Giugliano | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 13 |
| 17 | Barletta | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 |  Savoia | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 9 |
| 20 |  Crotone | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 1 |
Team Insights
Casertana- ●Casertana have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Casertana have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Casertana failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Casertana have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●69% of Casertana's goals have been scored at home.
Potenza- ●Potenza have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Potenza failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Potenza have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Potenza have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Potenza have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Potenza have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Potenza have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Potenza have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Potenza failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Potenza have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Potenza failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Potenza have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Potenza have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
CasertanaLAGiugliano0–1
Giugliano0–1DHBari1–1
Bari1–1DASorrento0–0
Sorrento0–0WHSS Monopoli3–1
SS Monopoli3–1LACavese0–2
Cavese0–2LHCatania1–2
Catania1–2–HCasarano07/11
Casarano07/11–ACosenza15/11
Cosenza15/11–HSalernitana20/11
Salernitana20/11PotenzaWHCrotone4–2
Crotone4–2DATeam Altamura2–2
Team Altamura2–2WHCatania2–1
Catania2–1WAFoggia3–1
Foggia3–1WHAZ Picerno4–2
AZ Picerno4–2WABarletta4–1
Barletta4–1–ASavoia08/11
Savoia08/11–HScafatese15/11
Scafatese15/11–AInter U2321/11
Inter U2321/11Top Scorers
CasertanaJ. Manconi8 ⚽
D. Castelli3 ⚽
F. Vezzoni2 ⚽
S. Pezzella1 ⚽
G. Henin1 ⚽
D. Mehic1 ⚽
PotenzaG. Selleri7 ⚽
L. Petrungaro6 ⚽
M. Castorani4 ⚽
G. D'Auria4 ⚽
M. Ghisolfi4 ⚽
A. De Marco3 ⚽
Cards Given
CasertanaA. Caporale3 🟨
G. Rocchi3 🟨
P. Martino2 🟨
G. Favale2 🟨
S. Oukhadda2 🟨
I. Kontek1 🟨
Potenza4 🟨
M. Castorani3 🟨
L. Petrungaro3 🟨
N. Bruschi3 🟨
N. Kirwan3 🟨
C. Staver2 🟨