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Livorno vs Ostia Mare — Serie C - Girone B

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Italy · Serie C - Girone B · Girone B - 12
Livorno
Livorno
7º · 1.45 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 8d 4h
vs
–
–
Ostia Mare
Ostia Mare
17º · 0.82 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 8d 22h
Stadio Armando Picchi·Livorno·Italy·19,238
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Livorno and Ostia Mare meet in the Serie C - Girone B 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Livorno have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Ostia Mare have won 14% of their 14 matches, with 0.79 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 14%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Livorno and 1.33 for Ostia Mare. The models give Livorno a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Ostia Mare win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Livorno
—
Ostia Mare
7º
Position
17º
1.45
PPG
0.82
36%
Win %
18%
1.45
Goals / game
0.91
1.45
Conceded / game
1.27
69%
BTTS %
50%
19%
Clean sheet %
14%
44%
Over 2.5 %
36%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Livorno
Home (6)
—
Ostia Mare
Away (6)
2.17
PPG
1.17
67%
Win %
33%
2.17
Goals / game
1.17
1.67
Conceded / game
1.33
80%
BTTS %
50%
10%
Clean sheet %
13%
60%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

LivornoHomeAwayOstia MareHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored75%90%50%57%50%63%
Over 1.5 Scored38%60%0%21%0%38%
Over 2.5 Scored25%40%0%0%0%0%
Failed To Score25%10%50%43%50%38%

Goals Conceded

LivornoHomeAwayOstia MareHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded81%90%67%86%83%88%
Over 1.5 Conceded31%30%33%43%50%38%
Over 2.5 Conceded6%10%0%14%0%25%
Clean Sheets19%10%33%14%17%13%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

LivornoOstia Mare
Over 0.588%93%
Over 1.575%79%
Over 2.544%36%
Over 3.525%14%
Over 4.519%7%
BTTS69%50%
BTTS & Win31%7%
BTTS & Draw31%21%
BTTS & Over 2.544%29%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

LivornoOstia Mare
Win 1st Half27%14%
Draw 1st Half60%50%
Loss 1st Half13%36%
Scored 1st Half53%21%
Conceded 1st Half33%43%
Win 2nd Half33%7%
Draw 2nd Half27%57%
Loss 2nd Half40%36%
Scored 2nd Half53%43%
Conceded 2nd Half53%64%
Over 0.5 HT60%57%
Over 1.5 HT40%29%

Recent Venue Form

Livorno (H)
DGrosseto4–4
LPescara0–1
WPianese3–2
WVado3–2
WAtalanta II1–0
WTorres2–1
Ostia Mare (A)
LPescara0–2
DLatina1–1
WGubbio2–0
LTorres2–3
WVis Pesaro2–1
LPerugia0–1

Head to Head · 4 matches

3
Livorno
75%
1
Draws
25%
0
Ostia Mare
0%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
25%
Over 2.5
1/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
09/02/25
Ostia Mare
0–2
Livorno
13/10/24
Livorno
2–0
Ostia Mare
19/03/23
Ostia Mare
1–1
Livorno
13/11/22
Livorno
3–1
Ostia Mare
Serie C - Girone B
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Spezia11920+1429
2Ravenna11722+1423
3Grosseto10541+819
4Pescara11533+218
5Reggiana10523+517
6Guidonia Montecelio 193710442+416
7Livorno11443016
8Perugia11515-216
9Vado11434+115
10Torres10433-115
11Campobasso FC11434-415
12Latina11353014
13Pineto11353-214
14Atalanta II10406-412
15Forli10253011
16Sambenedettese11245-210
17Ostia Mare11236-49
18Pianese10154-48
19Gubbio11218-117
20Vis Pesaro10118-144

Team Insights

Livorno
  • ●Livorno have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Livorno failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
  • ●Livorno failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Livorno failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●81% of Livorno's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●81% of Livorno's points have been earned at home.
Ostia Mare
  • ●Ostia Mare have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
  • ●Ostia Mare have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Ostia Mare failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Ostia Mare failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●70% of Ostia Mare's goals have been scored away.
  • ●78% of Ostia Mare's points have been earned away.
LivornoLivorno
LASambenedettese16º1–2
DHGrosseto3º4–4
DAForli15º1–1
LHPescara4º0–1
WHPianese18º3–2
DAGuidonia Montecelio 19376º1–1
WHVado9º3–2
LASpezia1º0–2
WHAtalanta II14º1–0
DANovara0–0
Ostia MareOstia Mare
LHVado9º1–2
LAPescara4º0–2
DHPianese18º0–0
DALatina12º1–1
DHForli15º1–1
WAGubbio19º2–0
LHRavenna2º0–1
LATorres10º2–3
WAVis Pesaro20º2–1
LHGrosseto3º1–2

Season Schedule

Livorno
LASambenedettese1–2
DHGrosseto4–4
DAForli1–1
LHPescara0–1
WHPianese3–2
DAGuidonia Montecelio 19371–1
–HOstia Mare01/11
–ACampobasso FC08/11
–AReggiana14/11
Ostia Mare
LHVado1–2
LAPescara0–2
DHPianese0–0
DALatina1–1
DHForli1–1
WAGubbio2–0
–ALivorno01/11
–HSpezia07/11
–AGuidonia Montecelio 193715/11

Top Scorers

Livorno
M. Malotti4 ⚽
G. Gabbiani4 ⚽
T. Mancini3 ⚽
L. Malagrida3 ⚽
M. Aramu3 ⚽
A. Bacciardi3 ⚽
Ostia Mare
V. Parigini3 ⚽
F. Carbone2 ⚽
I. Badje2 ⚽
M. Vagnoni2 ⚽
I. Wade1 ⚽
R. Tonin1 ⚽

Cards Given

Livorno
T. Arrigoni3 🟨
N. Falasco3 🟨
F. Veseli2 🟨
A. Bacciardi2 🟨
K. Djidji2 🟨
G. Gabbiani2 🟨
Ostia Mare
F. Casolari5 🟨
V. Parigini2 🟨
I. Badje2 🟨
D. Buono1 🟨
F. Carbone1 🟨
D. Piroli1 🟨