Giana Erminio vs Novara — Serie C - Girone A
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Giana Erminio and Novara meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Giana Erminio have recorded 2 wins from 15 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. Novara have won 35% of their 17 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.22 for Giana Erminio and 1.32 for Novara. The models give Giana Erminio a 38% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Novara win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Giana Erminio—
Novara16º
Position
13º
0.92
PPG
1.08
17%
Win %
25%
1.08
Goals / game
0.92
1.42
Conceded / game
1.33
73%
BTTS %
47%
7%
Clean sheet %
24%
60%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Giana Erminio
Home (6)
—
Novara
Away (6)
0.83
PPG
1.33
17%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
1.00
1.83
Conceded / game
1.17
100%
BTTS %
56%
0%
Clean sheet %
22%
71%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Giana Erminio | Home | Away | Novara | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 100% | 50% | 59% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 29% | 38% | 41% | 38% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 0% | 50% | 41% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Giana Erminio | Home | Away | Novara | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 100% | 88% | 76% | 75% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 57% | 38% | 41% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 14% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 0% | 13% | 24% | 25% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Giana Erminio | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 0% |
| BTTS | 73% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Giana Erminio | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 53% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 35% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 53% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 35% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 12% |
Recent Venue Form
Giana Erminio (H)L
Alcione1–3
Alcione1–3W
Union Brescia2–1
Union Brescia2–1D
PRO Vercelli1–1
PRO Vercelli1–1D
Trento2–2
Trento2–2L
Dolomiti Bellunesi1–2
Dolomiti Bellunesi1–2L
Albinoleffe1–2
Albinoleffe1–2Novara (A)L
Arzignano Valchiampo0–2
Arzignano Valchiampo0–2DAlbinoleffe2–2
Albinoleffe2–2WDolomiti Bellunesi2–1
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–1D
Lumezzane0–0
Lumezzane0–0W
Renate2–1
Renate2–1L
Juventus U230–1
Juventus U230–1Head to Head · 10 matches
2
Giana Erminio
20%
4
Draws
40%
4
Novara
40%
70%
Over 1.5
7/10
50%
Over 2.5
5/10
30%
Over 3.5
3/10
60%
BTTS
6/10
21/02/26Giana Erminio
Novara
3–1Giana Erminio11/10/25Novara
Giana Erminio
0–0Novara09/03/25Giana Erminio
Novara
0–1Giana Erminio25/10/24Novara
Giana Erminio
2–2Novara03/02/24Novara
Giana Erminio
0–1Novara24/09/23Giana Erminio
Novara
1–1Giana Erminio29/07/23Novara
Giana Erminio
0–2Novara03/02/21Novara
Giana Erminio
2–2Novara07/10/20Giana Erminio
Novara
2–1Giana Erminio13/10/19Novara
Giana Erminio
2–1Novara| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +14 | 25 |
| 3 | Trento | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | +11 | 24 |
| 4 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Ospitaletto | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 |  Treviso | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 19 |
| 7 | Alcione | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Lecco | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +7 | 17 |
| 9 | Albinoleffe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 10 |  Pergolettese | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Lumezzane | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 |  Desenzano Calvina | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Novara | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | PRO Vercelli | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 13 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 | Giana Erminio | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Juventus U23 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 18 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 19 | Renate | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| 20 |  Folgore Caratese | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 7 |
Team Insights
Giana Erminio- ●Giana Erminio failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Giana Erminio have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Giana Erminio have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Giana Erminio failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Giana Erminio have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Giana Erminio failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Giana Erminio's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Giana Erminio's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Giana Erminio have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Novara- ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Novara's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Giana ErminioLHAlcione1–3
Alcione1–3WADesenzano Calvina2–1
Desenzano Calvina2–1WHUnion Brescia2–1
Union Brescia2–1DARenate2–2
Renate2–2DATreviso0–0
Treviso0–0DHPRO Vercelli1–1
PRO Vercelli1–1–HCittadella08/11
Cittadella08/11–AAthletic Carpi14/11
Athletic Carpi14/11–HJuventus U2321/11
Juventus U2321/11NovaraWHDesenzano Calvina1–0
Desenzano Calvina1–0LAArzignano Valchiampo0–2
Arzignano Valchiampo0–2DAAlbinoleffe2–2
Albinoleffe2–2LHCittadella0–2
Cittadella0–2WADolomiti Bellunesi2–1
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–1LHOspitaletto0–2
Ospitaletto0–2–ATreviso08/11
Treviso08/11–HLecco15/11
Lecco15/11–APRO Vercelli22/11
PRO Vercelli22/11Top Scorers
Giana Erminio5 ⚽
M. Ballabio4 ⚽
L. Samele2 ⚽
S. Comelli2 ⚽
L. Magazzu1 ⚽
A. Quaggio1 ⚽
NovaraF. Lorenzini2 ⚽
E. Lanini2 ⚽
C. Donadio1 ⚽
D. Dell'Erba1 ⚽
D. Zuppel1 ⚽
C. da Graca1 ⚽
Cards Given
Giana ErminioD. Pinto4 🟨
S. Comelli3 🟨
M. Ballabio2 🟨
F. Renda2 🟨
E. Rovinelli2 🟨
L. Ruffini2 🟨
NovaraG. Basso5 🟨
M. Miceli4 🟨
F. Lorenzini4 🟨
A. Cannavaro2 🟨
E. Zambataro2 🟨
D. Zuppel2 🟨