Lumezzane vs Desenzano Calvina — Serie C - Girone A
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Lumezzane and Desenzano Calvina meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Lumezzane have recorded 3 wins from 15 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Desenzano Calvina have won 33% of their 15 matches, with 0.80 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.23 for Lumezzane and 1.08 for Desenzano Calvina. The models give Lumezzane a 43% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Desenzano Calvina win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Lumezzane—
Desenzano Calvina11º
Position
12º
1.08
PPG
1.08
25%
Win %
25%
1.08
Goals / game
0.83
1.42
Conceded / game
1.17
60%
BTTS %
40%
27%
Clean sheet %
47%
53%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lumezzane
Home (6)
—
Desenzano Calvina
Away (7)
1.50
PPG
1.14
33%
Win %
29%
1.33
Goals / game
0.86
1.17
Conceded / game
1.29
71%
BTTS %
40%
29%
Clean sheet %
40%
57%
Over 2.5 %
30%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lumezzane | Home | Away | Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 86% | 50% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 43% | 13% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 14% | 50% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Lumezzane | Home | Away | Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 71% | 75% | 53% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 57% | 63% | 20% | 40% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 13% | 13% | 20% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 29% | 25% | 47% | 60% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lumezzane | Desenzano Calvina | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 7% |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lumezzane | Desenzano Calvina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 7% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 13% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 7% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 27% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 47% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Lumezzane (H)D
Arzignano Valchiampo1–1
Arzignano Valchiampo1–1W
Albinoleffe3–2
Albinoleffe3–2L
Folgore Caratese1–2
Folgore Caratese1–2D
Novara0–0
Novara0–0D
Renate2–2
Renate2–2W
Giana Erminio1–0
Giana Erminio1–0Desenzano Calvina (A)LNovara0–1
Novara0–1W
Dolomiti Bellunesi1–0
Dolomiti Bellunesi1–0L
Alcione1–4
Alcione1–4WFolgore Caratese2–1
Folgore Caratese2–1D
Treviso0–0
Treviso0–0WArzignano Valchiampo2–1
Arzignano Valchiampo2–1Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Lumezzane
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Desenzano Calvina
50%
0%
Over 1.5
0/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
01/04/23Desenzano Calvina
Lumezzane
0–1Desenzano Calvina20/11/22Lumezzane
Desenzano Calvina
0–1Lumezzane| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +14 | 25 |
| 3 |  Trento | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | +11 | 24 |
| 4 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Ospitaletto | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 | Treviso | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 19 |
| 7 | Alcione | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Lecco | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +7 | 17 |
| 9 | Albinoleffe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 10 |  Pergolettese | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Lumezzane | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Desenzano Calvina | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Novara | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  PRO Vercelli | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 13 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 | Giana Erminio | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 |  Juventus U23 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 18 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 19 | Renate | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| 20 | Folgore Caratese | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 7 |
Team Insights
Lumezzane- ●Lumezzane have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Lumezzane have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lumezzane failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Lumezzane failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Lumezzane have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Lumezzane's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Lumezzane have scored 77% of their goals in the first half.
Desenzano Calvina- ●Desenzano Calvina have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Desenzano Calvina have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Desenzano Calvina have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Desenzano Calvina have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Desenzano Calvina failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●62% of Desenzano Calvina's points have been earned away.
- ●Desenzano Calvina have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
LumezzaneDHArzignano Valchiampo1–1
Arzignano Valchiampo1–1LAPergolettese1–2
Pergolettese1–2LAAthletic Carpi1–3
Athletic Carpi1–3DAJuventus U230–0
Juventus U230–0WHAlbinoleffe3–2
Albinoleffe3–2LHFolgore Caratese1–2
Folgore Caratese1–2–AAlcione06/11
Alcione06/11–HTrento14/11
Trento14/11–ALecco23/11
Lecco23/11Desenzano CalvinaLANovara0–1
Novara0–1LHGiana Erminio1–2
Giana Erminio1–2LAAlcione1–4
Alcione1–4WHDolomiti Bellunesi2–0
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–0WAFolgore Caratese2–1
Folgore Caratese2–1DHJuventus U230–0
Juventus U230–0–HOspitaletto08/11
Ospitaletto08/11–ARenate14/11
Renate14/11–HAlbinoleffe22/11
Albinoleffe22/11Top Scorers
LumezzaneG. Anatriello6 ⚽
T. Ebone3 ⚽
S. D'Agostino2 ⚽
S. Mancini2 ⚽
M. Rolando1 ⚽
M. Rocca1 ⚽
Desenzano Calvina4 ⚽
A. Procaccio2 ⚽
F. Liberati2 ⚽
K. Biondi2 ⚽
L. Ubaldi2 ⚽
C. Santini1 ⚽
Cards Given
LumezzaneG. Anatriello3 🟨
N. Gauli3 🟨
J. Deratti3 🟨
A. Boffelli2 🟨
F. Paghera2 🟨
A. Ghillani2 🟨
Desenzano CalvinaL. Milani4 🟨
T. Panelli3 🟨
A. De Francesco3 🟨
C. Santini3 🟨
A. Pilati2 🟨
K. Biondi1 🟨