Desenzano Calvina vs Albinoleffe — Serie C - Girone A
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Desenzano Calvina and Albinoleffe meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Desenzano Calvina have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.83 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Albinoleffe have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.23 for Desenzano Calvina and 1.32 for Albinoleffe. The models give Desenzano Calvina a 37% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Albinoleffe win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Desenzano CalvinaAlbinoleffeHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | Albinoleffe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 60% | 63% | 81% | 86% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 23% | 20% | 25% | 50% | 29% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 14% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 40% | 38% | 19% | 14% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | Albinoleffe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 54% | 40% | 63% | 75% | 86% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 40% | 13% | 38% | 43% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 20% | 13% | 13% | 0% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 46% | 60% | 38% | 25% | 14% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Desenzano Calvina | Albinoleffe | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 69% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 54% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 15% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 13% |
| BTTS | 46% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Desenzano Calvina | Albinoleffe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 62% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 15% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 69% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 46% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 23% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Desenzano Calvina (H)
Giana Erminio1–2
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–0
Juventus U230–0
Lecco1–3
Trento0–0
Scafatese1–1Albinoleffe (A)
Renate0–0
Lumezzane2–3
Cittadella2–1Juventus U235–3Dolomiti Bellunesi0–0Giana Erminio2–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 3 | Trento | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Treviso | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ospitaletto | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Alcione | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pergolettese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Lecco | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 | Albinoleffe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 | Desenzano Calvina | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Lumezzane | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Athletic Carpi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 |  Novara | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Juventus U23 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 |  PRO Vercelli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 | Giana Erminio | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 19 |  Folgore Caratese | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 | Renate | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Desenzano Calvina- ●Desenzano Calvina have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Desenzano Calvina failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Desenzano Calvina's points have been earned away.
- ●Desenzano Calvina have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Albinoleffe- ●Albinoleffe have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Albinoleffe have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Albinoleffe failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Albinoleffe failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Albinoleffe have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Albinoleffe's goals have been scored away.
- ●79% of Albinoleffe's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio1–2Alcione1–4Dolomiti Bellunesi2–0Folgore Caratese2–1Juventus U230–0Treviso0–0Novara02/11Ospitaletto08/11Renate14/11AlbinoleffeRenate0–0Novara2–2Lumezzane2–3Cittadella2–1Alcione1–1Juventus U235–3Pergolettese30/10Trento07/11Union Brescia14/11Top Scorers
Desenzano CalvinaAlbinoleffeCards Given
Desenzano CalvinaAlbinoleffe