Renate vs Desenzano Calvina — Serie C - Girone A
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Renate and Desenzano Calvina meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Renate have recorded 1 wins from 13 matches this season (8% win rate), averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Desenzano Calvina have won 33% of their 12 matches, with 0.83 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.06 for Renate and 1.13 for Desenzano Calvina. The models give Renate a 35% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Desenzano Calvina win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Renate—
Desenzano Calvina20º
Position
11º
0.40
PPG
1.30
0%
Win %
30%
0.90
Goals / game
0.90
1.60
Conceded / game
1.10
69%
BTTS %
42%
15%
Clean sheet %
50%
62%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Renate
Home (5)
—
Desenzano Calvina
Away (6)
0.40
PPG
1.33
0%
Win %
33%
0.60
Goals / game
1.00
1.20
Conceded / game
1.33
33%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
38%
33%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Renate | Home | Away | Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 50% | 100% | 58% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 33% | 29% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 50% | 0% | 42% | 50% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Renate | Home | Away | Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 67% | 100% | 50% | 25% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 62% | 33% | 86% | 17% | 25% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 0% | 29% | 17% | 25% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 75% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Renate | Desenzano Calvina | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS | 69% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 31% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Renate | Desenzano Calvina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 62% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 17% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 15% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 54% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 42% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Renate (H)D
Giana Erminio2–2
Giana Erminio2–2L
Treviso0–1
Treviso0–1D
Dolomiti Bellunesi0–0
Dolomiti Bellunesi0–0L
Novara1–2
Novara1–2L
Cittadella0–1
Cittadella0–1W
Città di Varese2–0
Città di Varese2–0Desenzano Calvina (A)L
Alcione1–4
Alcione1–4W
Folgore Caratese2–1
Folgore Caratese2–1DTreviso0–0
Treviso0–0W
Arzignano Valchiampo2–1
Arzignano Valchiampo2–1L
Union Brescia0–1
Union Brescia0–1W
Trento1–0
Trento1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 3 | Trento | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 | Treviso | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ospitaletto | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 6 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Alcione | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pergolettese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lecco | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Albinoleffe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 | Desenzano Calvina | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Lumezzane | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Athletic Carpi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Novara | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 |  Juventus U23 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 |  PRO Vercelli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 | Giana Erminio | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 19 | Folgore Caratese | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 | Renate | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Renate- ●Renate have failed to win in their last 10 matches.
- ●Renate failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Renate have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Renate failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Renate have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Renate failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Renate failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Renate have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Renate's goals have been scored away.
Desenzano Calvina- ●Desenzano Calvina have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Desenzano Calvina failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Desenzano Calvina's goals have been scored away.
- ●73% of Desenzano Calvina's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●62% of Desenzano Calvina's points have been earned away.
- ●Desenzano Calvina have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
RenateLAJuventus U231–2
Juventus U231–2DHGiana Erminio2–2
Giana Erminio2–2DAOspitaletto1–1
Ospitaletto1–1LHTreviso0–1
Treviso0–1LAArzignano Valchiampo1–2
Arzignano Valchiampo1–2DHDolomiti Bellunesi0–0
Dolomiti Bellunesi0–0–AAthletic Carpi01/11
Athletic Carpi01/11–APergolettese07/11
Pergolettese07/11–HDesenzano Calvina14/11
Desenzano Calvina14/11Desenzano CalvinaLAAlcione1–4
Alcione1–4WHDolomiti Bellunesi2–0
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–0WAFolgore Caratese2–1
Folgore Caratese2–1DHJuventus U230–0
Juventus U230–0DATreviso0–0
Treviso0–0LHLecco1–3
Lecco1–3–HGiana Erminio25/10
Giana Erminio25/10–ANovara02/11
Novara02/11–HOspitaletto08/11
Ospitaletto08/11Top Scorers
RenateN. Anelli4 ⚽
L. Kerrigan4 ⚽
M. Cali3 ⚽
O. Karlsson2 ⚽
S. Auriletto2 ⚽
J. Italeng1 ⚽
Desenzano Calvina4 ⚽
A. Procaccio2 ⚽
K. Biondi2 ⚽
L. Ubaldi2 ⚽
F. Liberati1 ⚽
V. Millico1 ⚽
Cards Given
RenateS. Auriletto4 🟨
S. Careccia4 🟨
M. Suarez3 🟨
N. Anelli3 🟨
F. Vassallo2 🟨
M. Cali2 🟨
Desenzano CalvinaL. Milani4 🟨
A. Pilati2 🟨
C. Santini2 🟨
A. De Francesco2 🟨
T. Panelli2 🟨
L. Lupano1 🟨