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Novara vs Lecco — Serie C - Girone A

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Italy · Serie C - Girone A · Girone A - 14
Novara
Novara
14º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 27d 20h
vs
–
–
Lecco
Lecco
9º · 1.30 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 29d 17h
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Novara and Lecco meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Novara have recorded 5 wins from 15 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Lecco have won 23% of their 13 matches, with 1.08 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 31%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 38%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.12 for Novara and 1.46 for Lecco. The models give Novara a 31% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Lecco win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 52%.

Season Statistics

Novara
—
Lecco
14º
Position
9º
1.00
PPG
1.30
20%
Win %
30%
1.00
Goals / game
1.20
1.40
Conceded / game
0.90
53%
BTTS %
31%
20%
Clean sheet %
38%
53%
Over 2.5 %
46%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Novara
Home (5)
—
Lecco
Away (5)
0.40
PPG
1.20
0%
Win %
40%
0.80
Goals / game
1.60
1.80
Conceded / game
1.20
43%
BTTS %
17%
14%
Clean sheet %
17%
43%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

NovaraHomeAwayLeccoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored60%43%75%46%57%33%
Over 1.5 Scored47%43%50%31%29%33%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%15%0%33%
Failed To Score40%57%25%54%43%67%

Goals Conceded

NovaraHomeAwayLeccoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded80%86%75%62%43%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded40%57%25%31%29%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%23%14%33%
Clean Sheets20%14%25%38%57%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

NovaraLecco
Over 0.587%77%
Over 1.567%54%
Over 2.553%46%
Over 3.520%31%
Over 4.50%15%
BTTS53%31%
BTTS & Win27%8%
BTTS & Draw20%15%
BTTS & Over 2.553%23%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%23%

1st Half / 2nd Half

NovaraLecco
Win 1st Half27%31%
Draw 1st Half27%46%
Loss 1st Half47%23%
Scored 1st Half33%31%
Conceded 1st Half60%23%
Win 2nd Half27%15%
Draw 2nd Half47%46%
Loss 2nd Half27%38%
Scored 2nd Half40%38%
Conceded 2nd Half47%54%
Over 0.5 HT80%54%
Over 1.5 HT13%15%

Recent Venue Form

Novara (H)
LCittadella0–2
LOspitaletto0–2
DAthletic Carpi2–2
LPergolettese0–1
DLivorno0–0
DFolgore Caratese2–2
Lecco (A)
WPRO Vercelli5–0
LCittadella0–3
WDesenzano Calvina3–1
LTrento0–1
LTreviso0–1
LHellas Verona0–3

Head to Head · 10 matches

3
Novara
30%
3
Draws
30%
4
Lecco
40%
60%
Over 1.5
6/10
50%
Over 2.5
5/10
20%
Over 3.5
2/10
40%
BTTS
4/10
15/03/26
Lecco
0–0
Novara
09/11/25
Novara
1–0
Lecco
17/01/25
Lecco
1–1
Novara
16/09/24
Novara
0–0
Lecco
11/02/23
Lecco
3–1
Novara
16/10/22
Novara
1–2
Lecco
07/03/21
Novara
3–0
Lecco
11/11/20
Lecco
1–0
Novara
19/01/20
Lecco
3–2
Novara
07/09/19
Novara
3–0
Lecco
Serie C - Girone A
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Cittadella11902+1227
2Union Brescia11641+1022
3Trento10550+1020
4Treviso11542+419
5Ospitaletto10532+818
6Arzignano Valchiampo10523+317
7Alcione11362+115
8Pergolettese10352014
9Lecco10343+313
10Albinoleffe10343+113
11Desenzano Calvina10343-213
12Lumezzane10334-312
13Athletic Carpi11335-512
14Novara10244-410
15Juventus U2310244-610
16Dolomiti Bellunesi11245-610
17PRO Vercelli10235-109
18Giana Erminio10154-38
19Folgore Caratese10136-66
20Renate10046-74

Team Insights

Novara
  • ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Novara have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Novara have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●80% of Novara's points have been earned away.
Lecco
  • ●Lecco have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Lecco have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Lecco have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Lecco failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●67% of Lecco's goals have been scored away.
  • ●67% of Lecco's goals conceded were conceded away.
NovaraNovara
DAAlbinoleffe10º2–2
LHCittadella1º0–2
WADolomiti Bellunesi16º2–1
LHOspitaletto5º0–2
DHAthletic Carpi13º2–2
DALumezzane12º0–0
LHPergolettese8º0–1
WARenate20º2–1
DHLivorno0–0
DHFolgore Caratese19º2–2
LeccoLecco
WAPRO Vercelli17º5–0
DHAlcione7º1–1
DHUnion Brescia2º2–2
LACittadella1º0–3
DHPergolettese8º0–0
WADesenzano Calvina11º3–1
WHGiana Erminio18º1–0
LATrento3º0–1
LATreviso4º0–1
DHArzignano Valchiampo6º0–0

Season Schedule

Novara
DAAlbinoleffe2–2
LHCittadella0–2
WADolomiti Bellunesi2–1
LHOspitaletto0–2
DHAthletic Carpi2–2
DALumezzane0–0
–AArzignano Valchiampo25/10
–HDesenzano Calvina02/11
–ATreviso08/11
Lecco
WAPRO Vercelli5–0
DHAlcione1–1
DHUnion Brescia2–2
LACittadella0–3
DHPergolettese0–0
WADesenzano Calvina3–1
–HFolgore Caratese25/10
–ADolomiti Bellunesi01/11
–HJuventus U2308/11

Top Scorers

Novara
F. Lorenzini2 ⚽
C. Donadio1 ⚽
C. da Graca1 ⚽
D. Dell'Erba1 ⚽
D. Zuppel1 ⚽
A. Valdesi1 ⚽
Lecco
3 ⚽
G. Manetti2 ⚽
G. Pellegrino2 ⚽
M. Arena2 ⚽
M. Casarotto2 ⚽
A. Capello1 ⚽

Cards Given

Novara
G. Basso4 🟨
M. Miceli4 🟨
E. Zambataro2 🟨
D. Zuppel2 🟨
A. Valdesi2 🟨
F. Lorenzini2 🟨
Lecco
L. Sinn4 🟨
A. Mallamo3 🟨
M. Casarotto3 🟨
G. Manetti2 🟨
M. Arena2 🟨
M. Litti2 🟨