Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto — Serie C - Girone A
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Desenzano Calvina and Ospitaletto meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Desenzano Calvina have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.83 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Ospitaletto have won 46% of their 13 matches, with 1.77 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.04 for Desenzano Calvina and 1.11 for Ospitaletto. The models give Desenzano Calvina a 37% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Ospitaletto win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
Desenzano Calvina—
Ospitaletto11º
Position
5º
1.30
PPG
1.80
30%
Win %
50%
0.90
Goals / game
1.70
1.10
Conceded / game
0.90
42%
BTTS %
62%
50%
Clean sheet %
31%
33%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Desenzano Calvina
Home (4)
—
Ospitaletto
Away (4)
1.25
PPG
2.00
25%
Win %
50%
0.75
Goals / game
1.50
0.75
Conceded / game
0.75
25%
BTTS %
71%
75%
Clean sheet %
29%
25%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | Ospitaletto | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 50% | 63% | 92% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 62% | 67% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 50% | 38% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | Ospitaletto | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 25% | 63% | 69% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 25% | 13% | 31% | 17% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 25% | 13% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 75% | 38% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Desenzano Calvina | Ospitaletto | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS | 42% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Desenzano Calvina | Ospitaletto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 46% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 17% | 69% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 23% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 67% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 42% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Desenzano Calvina (H)W
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–0
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–0D
Juventus U230–0
Juventus U230–0L
Lecco1–3
Lecco1–3D
Trento0–0
Trento0–0D
Scafatese1–1
Scafatese1–1L
Grosseto0–1
Grosseto0–1Ospitaletto (A)W
Treviso1–0
Treviso1–0W
Novara2–0
Novara2–0D
Athletic Carpi2–2
Athletic Carpi2–2D
Albinoleffe1–1
Albinoleffe1–1LTrento1–2
Trento1–2D
Rovato Vertovese2–2
Rovato Vertovese2–2Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Desenzano Calvina
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Ospitaletto
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
30/03/25Desenzano Calvina
Ospitaletto
2–1Desenzano Calvina17/11/24Ospitaletto
Desenzano Calvina
2–1Ospitaletto| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 3 | Trento | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 | Treviso | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 | Ospitaletto | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Alcione | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pergolettese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Lecco | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 | Albinoleffe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 | Desenzano Calvina | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Lumezzane | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Athletic Carpi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Novara | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Juventus U23 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 |  PRO Vercelli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 |  Giana Erminio | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 19 |  Folgore Caratese | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 |  Renate | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Desenzano Calvina- ●Desenzano Calvina have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Desenzano Calvina failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Desenzano Calvina's goals have been scored away.
- ●73% of Desenzano Calvina's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●62% of Desenzano Calvina's points have been earned away.
- ●Desenzano Calvina have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Ospitaletto- ●Ospitaletto have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ospitaletto have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ospitaletto have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ospitaletto failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●65% of Ospitaletto's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Ospitaletto's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Desenzano CalvinaLAAlcione1–4
Alcione1–4WHDolomiti Bellunesi2–0
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–0WAFolgore Caratese2–1
Folgore Caratese2–1DHJuventus U230–0
Juventus U230–0DATreviso0–0
Treviso0–0LHLecco1–3
Lecco1–3–HGiana Erminio25/10
Giana Erminio25/10–ANovara02/11
Novara02/11–HOspitaletto08/11
Ospitaletto08/11OspitalettoLHPergolettese2–3
Pergolettese2–3WATreviso1–0
Treviso1–0DHRenate1–1
Renate1–1WANovara2–0
Novara2–0LHCittadella0–1
Cittadella0–1DAAthletic Carpi2–2
Athletic Carpi2–2–APRO Vercelli25/10
PRO Vercelli25/10–HTrento31/10
Trento31/10–ADesenzano Calvina08/11
Desenzano Calvina08/11Top Scorers
Desenzano Calvina4 ⚽
A. Procaccio2 ⚽
K. Biondi2 ⚽
L. Ubaldi2 ⚽
F. Liberati1 ⚽
V. Millico1 ⚽
Ospitaletto5 ⚽
D. Stefanoni3 ⚽
F. Gobbi3 ⚽
F. Galuppini3 ⚽
G. Mondini3 ⚽
R. Nessi2 ⚽
Cards Given
Desenzano CalvinaL. Milani4 🟨
A. Pilati2 🟨
C. Santini2 🟨
A. De Francesco2 🟨
T. Panelli2 🟨
L. Lupano1 🟨
OspitalettoM. Guarneri2 🟨
D. Stefanoni2 🟨
M. Valente2 🟨
R. Nessi2 🟨
G. Mondini2 🟨
M. Panatti1 🟨