Novara vs Desenzano Calvina — Serie C - Girone A
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Novara and Desenzano Calvina meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 2 November 2026. Novara have recorded 5 wins from 15 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Desenzano Calvina have won 33% of their 12 matches, with 0.83 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.09 for Novara and 1.29 for Desenzano Calvina. The models give Novara a 34% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Desenzano Calvina win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Novara—
Desenzano Calvina14º
Position
11º
1.00
PPG
1.30
20%
Win %
30%
1.00
Goals / game
0.90
1.40
Conceded / game
1.10
53%
BTTS %
42%
20%
Clean sheet %
50%
53%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Novara
Home (5)
—
Desenzano Calvina
Away (6)
0.40
PPG
1.33
0%
Win %
33%
0.80
Goals / game
1.00
1.80
Conceded / game
1.33
43%
BTTS %
50%
14%
Clean sheet %
38%
43%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Novara | Home | Away | Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 43% | 75% | 58% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 43% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 57% | 25% | 42% | 50% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Novara | Home | Away | Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 86% | 75% | 50% | 25% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 57% | 25% | 17% | 25% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 25% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 14% | 25% | 50% | 75% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Novara | Desenzano Calvina | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 8% |
| BTTS | 53% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Novara | Desenzano Calvina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 47% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 17% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 42% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Novara (H)L
Cittadella0–2
Cittadella0–2L
Ospitaletto0–2
Ospitaletto0–2D
Athletic Carpi2–2
Athletic Carpi2–2L
Pergolettese0–1
Pergolettese0–1D
Livorno0–0
Livorno0–0D
Folgore Caratese2–2
Folgore Caratese2–2Desenzano Calvina (A)L
Alcione1–4
Alcione1–4WFolgore Caratese2–1
Folgore Caratese2–1D
Treviso0–0
Treviso0–0W
Arzignano Valchiampo2–1
Arzignano Valchiampo2–1L
Union Brescia0–1
Union Brescia0–1W
Trento1–0
Trento1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 3 | Trento | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 | Treviso | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 | Ospitaletto | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 6 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Alcione | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Pergolettese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lecco | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Albinoleffe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 | Desenzano Calvina | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Lumezzane | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Athletic Carpi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Novara | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 |  Juventus U23 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 |  PRO Vercelli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 |  Giana Erminio | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 19 | Folgore Caratese | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 |  Renate | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Novara- ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Novara have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Novara have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●80% of Novara's points have been earned away.
Desenzano Calvina- ●Desenzano Calvina have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Desenzano Calvina failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Desenzano Calvina's goals have been scored away.
- ●73% of Desenzano Calvina's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●62% of Desenzano Calvina's points have been earned away.
- ●Desenzano Calvina have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
NovaraDAAlbinoleffe2–2
Albinoleffe2–2LHCittadella0–2
Cittadella0–2WADolomiti Bellunesi2–1
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–1LHOspitaletto0–2
Ospitaletto0–2DHAthletic Carpi2–2
Athletic Carpi2–2DALumezzane0–0
Lumezzane0–0–AArzignano Valchiampo25/10
Arzignano Valchiampo25/10–HDesenzano Calvina02/11
Desenzano Calvina02/11–ATreviso08/11
Treviso08/11Desenzano CalvinaLAAlcione1–4
Alcione1–4WHDolomiti Bellunesi2–0
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–0WAFolgore Caratese2–1
Folgore Caratese2–1DHJuventus U230–0
Juventus U230–0DATreviso0–0
Treviso0–0LHLecco1–3
Lecco1–3–HGiana Erminio25/10
Giana Erminio25/10–ANovara02/11
Novara02/11–HOspitaletto08/11
Ospitaletto08/11Top Scorers
NovaraF. Lorenzini2 ⚽
C. Donadio1 ⚽
C. da Graca1 ⚽
D. Dell'Erba1 ⚽
D. Zuppel1 ⚽
A. Valdesi1 ⚽
Desenzano Calvina4 ⚽
A. Procaccio2 ⚽
K. Biondi2 ⚽
L. Ubaldi2 ⚽
F. Liberati1 ⚽
V. Millico1 ⚽
Cards Given
NovaraG. Basso4 🟨
M. Miceli4 🟨
E. Zambataro2 🟨
D. Zuppel2 🟨
A. Valdesi2 🟨
F. Lorenzini2 🟨
Desenzano CalvinaL. Milani4 🟨
A. Pilati2 🟨
C. Santini2 🟨
A. De Francesco2 🟨
T. Panelli2 🟨
L. Lupano1 🟨