Pergolettese vs Lumezzane — Serie C - Girone A
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Pergolettese and Lumezzane meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Pergolettese have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Lumezzane have won 23% of their 13 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.13 for Pergolettese and 0.89 for Lumezzane. The models give Pergolettese a 41% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Lumezzane win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33% and BTTS at 40%.
Season Statistics
Pergolettese—
Lumezzane8º
Position
12º
1.40
PPG
1.20
30%
Win %
30%
0.80
Goals / game
1.10
0.80
Conceded / game
1.40
33%
BTTS %
54%
50%
Clean sheet %
31%
25%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Pergolettese
Home (4)
—
Lumezzane
Away (5)
1.25
PPG
0.80
25%
Win %
20%
0.50
Goals / game
0.80
0.50
Conceded / game
1.60
20%
BTTS %
43%
60%
Clean sheet %
29%
20%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Pergolettese | Home | Away | Lumezzane | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 42% | 20% | 57% | 62% | 83% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 20% | 29% | 31% | 50% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 14% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 58% | 80% | 43% | 38% | 17% | 57% |
Goals Conceded
| Pergolettese | Home | Away | Lumezzane | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 57% | 69% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 43% | 62% | 67% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 43% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pergolettese | Lumezzane | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 58% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 | 42% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS | 33% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pergolettese | Lumezzane | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 54% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 62% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 8% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 69% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 17% | 31% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Pergolettese (H)W
Athletic Carpi2–1
Athletic Carpi2–1D
Trento0–0
Trento0–0D
Folgore Caratese0–0
Folgore Caratese0–0L
Union Brescia0–1
Union Brescia0–1D
Inter U230–0
Inter U230–0W
Lecco3–0
Lecco3–0Lumezzane (A)LAthletic Carpi1–3
Athletic Carpi1–3D
Juventus U230–0
Juventus U230–0L
Inter0–2
Inter0–2W
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–1
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–1L
Cittadella1–2
Cittadella1–2L
Ospitaletto0–2
Ospitaletto0–2Head to Head · 6 matches
3
Pergolettese
50%
0
Draws
0%
3
Lumezzane
50%
50%
Over 1.5
3/6
17%
Over 2.5
1/6
17%
Over 3.5
1/6
17%
BTTS
1/6
10/01/26Lumezzane
Pergolettese
0–2Lumezzane31/08/25Pergolettese
Lumezzane
2–3Pergolettese13/03/25Lumezzane
Pergolettese
1–0Lumezzane29/10/24Pergolettese
Lumezzane
0–2Pergolettese14/01/24Lumezzane
Pergolettese
0–1Lumezzane10/09/23Pergolettese
Lumezzane
1–0Pergolettese| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 3 | Trento | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Treviso | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 | Ospitaletto | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Alcione | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Pergolettese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Lecco | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Albinoleffe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Desenzano Calvina | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Lumezzane | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Athletic Carpi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 |  Novara | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Juventus U23 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 |  PRO Vercelli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 |  Giana Erminio | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 19 | Folgore Caratese | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 |  Renate | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Pergolettese- ●Pergolettese have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Pergolettese have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Pergolettese have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Pergolettese have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Pergolettese have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●75% of Pergolettese's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Pergolettese's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●64% of Pergolettese's points have been earned away.
- ●Pergolettese have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Lumezzane- ●Lumezzane failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●64% of Lumezzane's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Lumezzane have scored 73% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
PergoletteseWAOspitaletto3–2
Ospitaletto3–2WHAthletic Carpi2–1
Athletic Carpi2–1DAArzignano Valchiampo2–2
Arzignano Valchiampo2–2DHTrento0–0
Trento0–0DALecco0–0
Lecco0–0DHFolgore Caratese0–0
Folgore Caratese0–0–HLumezzane25/10
Lumezzane25/10–AAlbinoleffe30/10
Albinoleffe30/10–HRenate07/11
Renate07/11LumezzaneLAAthletic Carpi1–3
Athletic Carpi1–3DAJuventus U230–0
Juventus U230–0WHAlbinoleffe3–2
Albinoleffe3–2LHFolgore Caratese1–2
Folgore Caratese1–2WADolomiti Bellunesi2–1
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–1DHNovara0–0
Novara0–0–APergolettese25/10
Pergolettese25/10–HArzignano Valchiampo01/11
Arzignano Valchiampo01/11–AAlcione06/11
Alcione06/11Top Scorers
PergoletteseN. Corti2 ⚽
A. Pala2 ⚽
D. Ferrandino1 ⚽
E. Bassi1 ⚽
F. Gorno1 ⚽
L. Roversi1 ⚽
LumezzaneG. Anatriello5 ⚽
T. Ebone3 ⚽
S. D'Agostino2 ⚽
A. Ghillani1 ⚽
M. Rolando1 ⚽
S. Mancini1 ⚽
Cards Given
PergoletteseL. Roversi4 🟨
D. Ferrandino2 🟨
Z. Jaouhari2 🟨
M. Arini2 🟨
M. Tremolada2 🟨
R. Stronati1 🟨
LumezzaneN. Gauli3 🟨
M. Rocca2 🟨
A. Ghillani2 🟨
J. Deratti2 🟨
G. Anatriello2 🟨
L. Menegazzo2 🟨