Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio — Serie C - Girone A
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Desenzano Calvina and Giana Erminio meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Desenzano Calvina have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.83 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Giana Erminio have won 8% of their 13 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.12 for Desenzano Calvina and 0.91 for Giana Erminio. The models give Desenzano Calvina a 43% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Giana Erminio win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33% and BTTS at 40%.
Season Statistics
Desenzano Calvina—
Giana Erminio11º
Position
18º
1.30
PPG
0.80
30%
Win %
10%
0.90
Goals / game
1.00
1.10
Conceded / game
1.30
42%
BTTS %
69%
50%
Clean sheet %
8%
33%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Desenzano Calvina
Home (4)
—
Giana Erminio
Away (5)
1.25
PPG
0.60
25%
Win %
0%
0.75
Goals / game
0.60
0.75
Conceded / game
1.00
25%
BTTS %
43%
75%
Clean sheet %
14%
25%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | Giana Erminio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 50% | 63% | 69% | 100% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 50% | 38% | 31% | 0% | 57% |
Goals Conceded
| Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | Giana Erminio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 25% | 63% | 92% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 25% | 13% | 46% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 25% | 13% | 15% | 0% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 75% | 38% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Desenzano Calvina | Giana Erminio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 67% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS | 42% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Desenzano Calvina | Giana Erminio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 54% |
| Scored 1st Half | 17% | 31% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 67% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 42% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Desenzano Calvina (H)W
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–0
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–0D
Juventus U230–0
Juventus U230–0L
Lecco1–3
Lecco1–3D
Trento0–0
Trento0–0D
Scafatese1–1
Scafatese1–1L
Grosseto0–1
Grosseto0–1Giana Erminio (A)D
Renate2–2
Renate2–2D
Treviso0–0
Treviso0–0D
Folgore Caratese1–1
Folgore Caratese1–1LLecco0–1
Lecco0–1L
Union Brescia2–5
Union Brescia2–5L
Lumezzane0–1
Lumezzane0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 3 | Trento | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 | Treviso | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ospitaletto | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Alcione | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pergolettese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Lecco | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Albinoleffe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 | Desenzano Calvina | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Lumezzane | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Athletic Carpi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 |  Novara | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Juventus U23 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 |  PRO Vercelli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 | Giana Erminio | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 19 | Folgore Caratese | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 | Renate | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Desenzano Calvina- ●Desenzano Calvina have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Desenzano Calvina failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Desenzano Calvina's goals have been scored away.
- ●73% of Desenzano Calvina's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●62% of Desenzano Calvina's points have been earned away.
- ●Desenzano Calvina have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Giana Erminio- ●Giana Erminio have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Giana Erminio have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Giana Erminio failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Giana Erminio have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Giana Erminio have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Giana Erminio failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Giana Erminio failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Giana Erminio's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Desenzano CalvinaLAAlcione1–4
Alcione1–4WHDolomiti Bellunesi2–0
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–0WAFolgore Caratese2–1
Folgore Caratese2–1DHJuventus U230–0
Juventus U230–0DATreviso0–0
Treviso0–0LHLecco1–3
Lecco1–3–HGiana Erminio25/10
Giana Erminio25/10–ANovara02/11
Novara02/11–HOspitaletto08/11
Ospitaletto08/11Giana ErminioWHUnion Brescia2–1
Union Brescia2–1DARenate2–2
Renate2–2DATreviso0–0
Treviso0–0DHPRO Vercelli1–1
PRO Vercelli1–1DAFolgore Caratese1–1
Folgore Caratese1–1DHTrento2–2
Trento2–2–ADesenzano Calvina25/10
Desenzano Calvina25/10–HAlcione31/10
Alcione31/10–HCittadella08/11
Cittadella08/11Top Scorers
Desenzano Calvina4 ⚽
A. Procaccio2 ⚽
K. Biondi2 ⚽
L. Ubaldi2 ⚽
F. Liberati1 ⚽
V. Millico1 ⚽
Giana Erminio5 ⚽
M. Ballabio3 ⚽
L. Samele2 ⚽
S. Comelli2 ⚽
A. Quaggio1 ⚽
E. Muhameti1 ⚽
Cards Given
Desenzano CalvinaL. Milani4 🟨
A. Pilati2 🟨
C. Santini2 🟨
A. De Francesco2 🟨
T. Panelli2 🟨
L. Lupano1 🟨
Giana ErminioD. Pinto4 🟨
S. Comelli3 🟨
M. Ballabio2 🟨
F. Renda2 🟨
E. Rovinelli2 🟨
L. Ruffini2 🟨