Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara — Serie C - Girone A
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Arzignano Valchiampo and Novara meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Arzignano Valchiampo have recorded 6 wins from 12 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Novara have won 33% of their 15 matches, with 1.07 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Arzignano Valchiampo and 1.19 for Novara. The models give Arzignano Valchiampo a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Novara win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Arzignano Valchiampo—
Novara6º
Position
14º
1.70
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
20%
1.40
Goals / game
1.00
1.10
Conceded / game
1.40
67%
BTTS %
53%
25%
Clean sheet %
20%
75%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Arzignano Valchiampo
Home (5)
—
Novara
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
1.60
60%
Win %
40%
1.60
Goals / game
1.20
1.20
Conceded / game
1.00
86%
BTTS %
63%
14%
Clean sheet %
25%
86%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Arzignano Valchiampo | Home | Away | Novara | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 60% | 60% | 43% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 71% | 40% | 47% | 43% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 40% | 40% | 57% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Arzignano Valchiampo | Home | Away | Novara | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 86% | 60% | 80% | 86% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 43% | 20% | 40% | 57% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 14% | 40% | 20% | 14% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Arzignano Valchiampo | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 67% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Arzignano Valchiampo | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Arzignano Valchiampo (H)W
Juventus U232–1
Juventus U232–1D
Pergolettese2–2
Pergolettese2–2W
Renate2–1
Renate2–1L
Desenzano Calvina1–2
Desenzano Calvina1–2D
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–2
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–2W
PRO Vercelli1–0
PRO Vercelli1–0Novara (A)D
Albinoleffe2–2
Albinoleffe2–2WDolomiti Bellunesi2–1
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–1D
Lumezzane0–0
Lumezzane0–0WRenate2–1
Renate2–1LJuventus U230–1
Juventus U230–1W
Alcione1–0
Alcione1–0Head to Head · 8 matches
1
Arzignano Valchiampo
13%
3
Draws
38%
4
Novara
50%
50%
Over 1.5
4/8
13%
Over 2.5
1/8
13%
Over 3.5
1/8
38%
BTTS
3/8
27/02/26Novara
Arzignano Valchiampo
1–1Novara17/10/25Arzignano Valchiampo
Novara
1–0Arzignano Valchiampo05/04/25Arzignano Valchiampo
Novara
1–0Arzignano Valchiampo24/11/24Novara
Arzignano Valchiampo
0–2Novara17/02/24Novara
Arzignano Valchiampo
0–0Novara13/10/23Arzignano Valchiampo
Novara
0–1Arzignano Valchiampo08/04/23Novara
Arzignano Valchiampo
1–1Novara04/12/22Arzignano Valchiampo
Novara
3–1Arzignano Valchiampo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 3 |  Trento | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Treviso | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ospitaletto | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 6 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Alcione | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Pergolettese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lecco | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 | Albinoleffe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 | Desenzano Calvina | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Lumezzane | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Athletic Carpi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Novara | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Juventus U23 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | PRO Vercelli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 |  Giana Erminio | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 19 |  Folgore Caratese | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 | Renate | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Arzignano Valchiampo- ●Arzignano Valchiampo have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Arzignano Valchiampo have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Arzignano Valchiampo failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Novara- ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Novara have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Novara have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●80% of Novara's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Arzignano ValchiampoLACittadella0–1
Cittadella0–1WHJuventus U232–1
Juventus U232–1DHPergolettese2–2
Pergolettese2–2WAAthletic Carpi3–0
Athletic Carpi3–0WHRenate2–1
Renate2–1WAAlbinoleffe2–1
Albinoleffe2–1–HNovara25/10
Novara25/10–ALumezzane01/11
Lumezzane01/11–AUnion Brescia06/11
Union Brescia06/11NovaraDAAlbinoleffe2–2
Albinoleffe2–2LHCittadella0–2
Cittadella0–2WADolomiti Bellunesi2–1
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–1LHOspitaletto0–2
Ospitaletto0–2DHAthletic Carpi2–2
Athletic Carpi2–2DALumezzane0–0
Lumezzane0–0–AArzignano Valchiampo25/10
Arzignano Valchiampo25/10–HDesenzano Calvina02/11
Desenzano Calvina02/11–ATreviso08/11
Treviso08/11Top Scorers
Arzignano ValchiampoA. Mattioli4 ⚽
N. Nanni3 ⚽
M. Moretti3 ⚽
J. Romio2 ⚽
E. Lanzi2 ⚽
F. Cariolato2 ⚽
NovaraF. Lorenzini2 ⚽
C. Donadio1 ⚽
C. da Graca1 ⚽
D. Dell'Erba1 ⚽
D. Zuppel1 ⚽
A. Valdesi1 ⚽
Cards Given
Arzignano ValchiampoA. Milillo3 🟨
C. Gatti2 🟨
E. Lakti2 🟨
E. Bernardi1 🟨
E. De Santis1 🟨
A. Nenna1 🟨
NovaraG. Basso4 🟨
M. Miceli4 🟨
E. Zambataro2 🟨
D. Zuppel2 🟨
A. Valdesi2 🟨
F. Lorenzini2 🟨